Recent content by atrp2biz

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    Crash Monday? SVB contagion, VIX spike

    I missed a lot on this thread the past couple days. My take away is to somehow get under Dest’s skin to get a payout proposition.
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    ES, yield curve and gold

    Interesting P/L breakdown YTD through yesterday. I crashed and burned with ES by taking on too much short risk mid-February.
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    Why did treasuries (1 year) drop 32 bp Friday, and 32 bp this morning?

    I don’t agree with the last part of the statement. It’s not about seeking safer assets but rather exercising a view on interest rates.
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    ES, yield curve and gold

    Still another hour left in RTH, but it's going to warm up to above freezing so I'm going for a run. P/L on ES seems a little off--I'm down a few thousand so not sure what's wrong with that print. I still like the steepener, but I closed the position for now. It was a spectacular day for that...
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    Why did treasuries (1 year) drop 32 bp Friday, and 32 bp this morning?

    Middle of last week, markets believed the next Fed move would be +25-50 bps. It's now +0-25 bps. Things might not be breaking just yet--but there is a crack starting to form. I'm betting that the Fed is done hiking rates.
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    Crash Monday? SVB contagion, VIX spike

    I’ve been browsing Netflix for the past 15 minutes trying to figure out what to watch. Rounders it is on AMZN Prime!
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    ES, yield curve and gold

    Another massive steepening move in the yield curve. Are we on the path to a positive slope in the TUT? I’m sitting tight on this position.
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    ES, yield curve and gold

    I'm back after a brief posting hiatus. I need to figure out how I want to use this journal. Posting everyday became somewhat exhausting while posting every three weeks doesn't satisfy the point of the journal. I've had somewhat of a life event. I removed myself from the corporate world in...
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    ES, yield curve and gold

    I won’t go into detail on account size (it’s just a fun account anyways) but this week was definitely atypical. I’ve had 20% DDs in the past while my largest DD from my HWM YTD was $40k (but only because I was stupid which you’ll see three or so weeks ago). The stars were aligned for me this...
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    ES, yield curve and gold

    So ends a very good (but volatile) week. Today was the second five-figure +P&L day of the week for the account. All my positions worked out, especially the SPX calendar. I threw in a tiny ES scalp but spent the day with my kids since they had the day off. It's a long weekend on both sides of...
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    ES, yield curve and gold

    With vol bid in the morning, I re-entered into my short ES/short puts position. I thought I was a genius mid-day. My P/L was $10k higher two hours ago, but at least it was a green day. Another day, another dollar with GC and the large theta with the short-term short calls. Portfolio theta is...
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    ES, yield curve and gold

    I was away from the screen all day except for the last hour of RTH--it was too nice a day to not be outside! Pretty quiet trading day. I did what I could do defend the GC move over night--I played both defense and offence--moved some calls down. Closed the ES position with VIX in the low 18s...
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    ES, yield curve and gold

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    ES, yield curve and gold

    It was another swingy day as I sized up on GC and was in and out throughout the day. I currently have my long GC/short calls position on--very short term with the calls expiring February 23. I feel like we're going to be stuck between 1850-1900 for a bit. It ended up being a great day for me...
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