Trading today's Fed.... the Powell reaction trade

Vaccines' effectiveness results against the omicron variant is coming out soon. It's already been two weeks since they first discovered the variant. Is the market still going to be reacting to that or has the market completely forgotten about that and instead is focusing on Powell again?

The media will not let anyone forget about Covid. Omicron is yet another ratings gift so the fear can be reignited. Is the vax effective against omicron? Depends on how you define "effective". Seems like lots more vaccinated people are getting covid now (or maybe that's just my TV talking) but maybe it's much less deadly and those that are vaxxed are less likely to be hospitalized? That's what my TV tells me I'm supposed to think.

We're getting some nice volatility here so I'm not complaining.

You've been in this market long enough to know the markets can latch on to anything at any time and just go. Today it's the Fed, tomorrow covid, maybe Ukraine Monday...next week maybe tire shortages... who knows what's next.
 
That's the way to go, but I think if you have a proven system, with known statistics, you should not be afraid to size up your initial quibbles + adds. That's how I am planning to do it.

What are you are missing here is that his track record on many ( not all ) of his trading ideas are poor since April 2020. This is due to an extreme negative bias about markets and a stubbornness leading to revenge trading for over a year. Not scaling up on poor ideas is actually smart.

His recent disclosures suggest either he's either deliberately misleading or just can't face any setbacks himself and regroup. I'll call this kind of behavior every time. He doesn't have a proven system and my observation is the choice of what to trade is often mediocre. He puts the effort in and obviously has some trading ability, but more honesty is needed or why bother posting anything.
 
As usual there's going to be a volatile whipsaw.... then rally or selloff today following the 2:30 announcement (there's usually a 3-wave quick move starting 2:30... knee jerk 5 minute reaction, then countertrend, then major move starting 2:45.)

My daytrading playbook (not recommendations):

If bullish reaction I'll buy SVXY and SOXL

If bearish reaction I'll buy UVXY TZA SQQQ

Best wishes to all, today's likely to be a tradable FOMC reaction. This one should be especially volatile.

I expect a minor move up followed by epic selloff; if that occurs I'm aggressively trading UVXY.

https://www.cnbc.com/2021/12/14/the...very-big-step-toward-its-first-rate-hike.html
Nice sax piece in here...
 
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