Define “recession”, 2 consecutive negative GDP is not happening. Everyone has multiple jobs/income streams now, to make ends meet or try to save for retirement. My friend’s wife, who is a stay home mom, now cooks cookies and sell to customers via these food delivery apps from home. Never thought they are lack of money to put foods on the table but they are unsecured.
Regardless of the headline number, underlying data from the report painted a bleaker picture: while the monthly nonfarm payrolls from the Establishment Survey indicated modest growth at 216K, the Household Survey showed a sharp decrease of 683K in the number of employed workers – the largest drop since the onset of COVID-19. This decline in employment, coupled with the stark divergence between the two surveys, underscores deeper labor market issues.
Moreover, the breakdown of job types revealed a shocking decline in full-time positions by 1.531 million in December, counterbalanced by a surge in part-time workers. The U.S. has seen a shift towards part-time employment since February 2023, with no net addition of full-time jobs, further complicating the employment landscape.
Multiple jobholders also surged by 222K, reaching a record high. This suggests that more workers are taking on multiple jobs to cope with economic conditions.