T-bond now in historical high, how much higher can it go?

[Sandybestdog]

Quote from bone:
Aren't you looking for funding for some sort of solar trading scheme ? Fixed Income might not be your forte based upon your statement..

Given Solyndra and the rest a compelling case could be argued that solar is a scam " lemming effect" and a ripoff. Same for carbon credits and the rest - guaranteed to fail since China and the US are not going along for the ride apparently.

I'm sorry I'm not sure I understand your point. Because one solar company failed that means that the product they make is a ripoff? That's like saying because Palm failed, all cell phones are a ripoff.

While solar may not be the most cost effective energy at this point, it is a proven and reliable contributing energy for several decades now. The cost has come down to a point now that depending on tax credits, return on investment is only 4-7 years. After that it's all free, non maintenance energy.

Not to mention that wind and solar actually for once take the cost and supply out of the hands of the powers that be and puts it into the hands of the consumer who can now make their own energy.

 

[taq]

Quote from blnbr:

T-bond price is now in historical high. Let's assume recession is coming and the stock market is falling in the coming months, how much higher can T-bond still go based on the fundamental analysis?

fundamental i don't understand much but price is in congestion zone next 2 months will decide its fate both 10y & 30y is showing exhaustion here it will provide shorting oportunity soon. I m into trade from last 1 yr or so let us see how it will unfold.

 

[taq]

here is us 10y note chart

 

[goodgoing]

TA for TLT and yields here http://t.co/ntbbMwCX

 

[dptrading]

I wrote a brief piece about it at www.pimmtrading.blogspot.com in relation to the 10 year notes.

SPX growth is underpinned by positive GDP, and inflation. The current SPX levels suggest yields should be far higher, particularly in the longer term notes and bonds. You need to be able to weather some flak for a while, but my opinion is the shorters will win by year end.