S&P500 pierced 50 week MA for the first time in almost exactly 2 years

yeah fortune says its dropping by 30-40% from here. multiple year bear market

You might want to get a recession first. Pretty rare that markets crash with GDP 4-6%, earnings still growing, money still cheap. Bonds are a horrible investment in a rising interest rate environment and the best GIC I can find pays 1.25%. For a "crash" to occur, you need people who like stocks to bail at a large loss out of panic. I don't see any reason for people to do so yet. Fortune will probably be bullish when the next US crash occurs. Most analysts and media types are often chasing the latest trend trying to pretend they were always in on it.
 
Previous time was 2/24/20. Remember what happened next lol?
History rarely repeats itself though, so perhaps a dark stock winter allowing p/e to deflate?
Get rich selling OOM calls?

Gee I wonder what happens to P/E when E goes up but P flatlines or corrects.
 
You might want to get a recession first. Pretty rare that markets crash with GDP 4-6%, earnings still growing, money still cheap. Bonds are a horrible investment in a rising interest rate environment and the best GIC I can find pays 1.25%. For a "crash" to occur, you need people who like stocks to bail at a large loss out of panic. I don't see any reason for people to do so yet. Fortune will probably be bullish when the next US crash occurs. Most analysts and media types are often chasing the latest trend trying to pretend they were always in on it.

It's over dude. The bulls have lost this fight. The bears finally got their victory through capillary action.

Such a shame, because it is not WARRANTED. The Ukraine thing is NOT a catalyst, but everyone seems to think so!

The bull is slaughtered, and the bears are fattening up for the next winter on our blood. :-(
 
So, you are now shorting the market?
Or are you just bragging about it?

Each week, for the last 6-7 years, there is a guy saying that the market will crash. Just do a quick search on this forum.
It will happen for sure.
When?
Don't know.
Maybe it will start next week, maybe next month, next year, in 5 years???

If you're really shorting the market based on your observation of the 50 weeks MA, I wish you good luck. But if you look back the previous times it had happened, the market didn't went down all the times.
Yes and yes.
Yes, I'm (a little) short. And Yes, I'm bragging.
 
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o_O

Why 50, why not 52 week squiggly?

It was actually following week of 2/28/20 (numbers are off too) but who's keeping track.
%%
Use 52 if you want;
SPY went below 50 week ma on my charts 1-24-2022, some name it 1-28-22 week. FEB seems to be a weak month for DOW anyway/Stock Traders Almanac......
 
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