Rate cut predicted as early as 1st quarter 2024? Really???

WAY too soon for rate cuts. A more permanent hold on rate increase is more like it IF the inflation is really down. Honestly I don't think we are out of the woods yet on inflation. One low inflation number doesn't determine the whole trend. We have been there before where we get one low number for one month and then the next month it goes back up much higher and we even find out the previous months number was not even correct and had to be revised higher. Imo I highly doubt this month's CPI is 2% and wouldn't be surprised if there is a revised-up next month.
 
Arnie said:
I think the Fed is delusional if they think cutting the overnight rate, which is all they control, will have a significant impact on longer rates, or the economy. When has their timing ever been close to right? I've always maintained that the debt doesn't matter until it does, and then it's too late. Who is going to buy all those bonds we will need to sell to pay for levels of debt that are going parabolic?

Oh, btw, that chart is wrong. We owe just under $34 Trillion.
28393.jpeg
More...

How much of that debt is owed to ourselves? And what hapoens when we default on debt that we owe to ourself?
 
tsfx said:
How much of that debt is owed to ourselves? And what hapoens when we default on debt that we owe to ourself?
More...

DEFAULT?????

DEFAULT?????

Never would they allow the US to default.
Don't even mention it. Could never happen and would never happen. That reminds me of the debt ceiling being raised every single time we breach it and the threat of social security running out in the yrs ahead.


There is no such thing as a default

All debt ceilings will forever be raised and social security running dry is nothing but a fantasy.
 
S2007S said:
DEFAULT?????

DEFAULT?????

Never would they allow the US to default.
Don't even mention it. Could never happen and would never happen. That reminds me of the debt ceiling being raised every single time we breach it and the threat of social security running out in the yrs ahead.


There is no such thing as a default

All debt ceilings will forever be raised and social security running dry is nothing but a fantasy.
More...

Why would we need to default when we can print the interest :)

We just need a new trigger to support printing again.
 
Ironbeam said:
Fed Fund futures are pricing a 26% chance of a rate cut in Q1 of 2024.
More...
%%
IBKR Traders Forcast,NOV 16, Mega -cap tech a safe haven.
SCHW Weekly Traders Outlook = ''Moderately Bullish''/same for Next Week.
Technicals on/QQQ+ QLD= 56% buy/barchart .com/100% buy long term
56% sell on sqqq LOL:D:D
 
But a rate cut to avoid a recession.

S2007S said:
This is really funny.. everyone in the last 2 weeks especially as of yesterday after cpi report that everything now is picture perfect and nothing but rainbows and butterflies....they are predicting rate cuts and a perfect soft landing. On top of that s&p predictions as high as 5400. So you are going to tell me the markets are going to go parabolic from now until whenever and the fed is going to come back in and cut rates all while unemployment is at historical lows and gdp only looking higher and higher as we proceed into 2024?
Why rate cuts? So we can keep the market juiced to infinity???


They believe its because of a recession, let's get one thing straight here. The fed will never ever ever ever ever ever never ever neverrrrrrr ever allow a recession to ever take place on the US economy!!!!

Remember that. They will never accept a recession ...so a Rate cut based on a recession is impossible.



https://www.businessinsider.com/sto...-recession-fed-interest-rate-cuts-ubs-2023-11
More...
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top