Over or underperformance by TA signals

[murray t turtle]

The markets are arbitraged to one outcome, you become poor, they become wealthy, the only way to avoid this is be under the 'limit' of markets acceptable returns which today is pathetic, or you can time when the 'event' occurs and exit before.

Unfortunately even billionaires and the highest level elites can't do this, they can time the upswing but the inversion has too many moving parts, basically Account A and account B at some point will give the correct answer, and then diverge in cycles ebbing closer and further away, the 'event' will make them diverge at the maximum spread where you will capitulate, it is a forgone conclusion.

%%
THAT sounds right\
on crypto cr*p, which you noted.
US capital markets can help make one rich or poor;
but we never blame gamed capital markets for our mistakes\misses.[This remark does not include bit con or such.]
Good points earlier on 120%
Crypto cr*p is not used here as an insult;
WMT sells bull cr*p in 50 pound bag, actually good cheap , clean aged fertilizer.

 

[alistera]

Is that somewhere available for the public because I would be interested in such a system with 10:1 win rate on Forex. Let me know this. Thanks.

Sure, I know they will release a web terminal version this quarter, not sure they would let you have access to the hedge fund version (desktop), probably depends what you want to do with it, run a crypto fund, run a family office, run a friends/family private fund, they all have different numbers the markets deem acceptable.

With the loss if you get it wrong you evaporate profits for that cycle, not just trade, taken a while to get that right, if you make a mistake chasing the markets it evaporates capital as well, did that a few times too, but this is how the markets are designed to work, if you target 50%pa profit the markets demand 50% risk to capital.

 

[syswizard]

Sure, I know they will release a web terminal version this quarter, not sure they would let you have access to the hedge fund version (desktop), probably depends what you want to do with it

So this high win-rate system only works in the Forex markets and not the index futures market ?
Do they have a different system for the futures ?

 

[TrAndy2022]

Sure, I know they will release a web terminal version this quarter, not sure they would let you have access to the hedge fund version (desktop), probably depends what you want to do with it, run a crypto fund, run a family office, run a friends/family private fund, they all have different numbers the markets deem acceptable.

With the loss if you get it wrong you evaporate profits for that cycle, not just trade, taken a while to get that right, if you make a mistake chasing the markets it evaporates capital as well, did that a few times too, but this is how the markets are designed to work, if you target 50%pa profit the markets demand 50% risk to capital.

What is the name of this firm, so I know where to search within google ?

 

[alistera]

So this high win-rate system only works in the Forex markets and not the index futures market ?
Do they have a different system for the futures ?

I know you have a lot of posts but do you understand non private trading dynamics, very few do, 'kind of has a 10:1' means designed to invert 10 losses in a row rule, but, with the 1 if you get it wrong you evaporate profits for that cycle, not just trade, taken me a while to get that right.

If you make a mistake chasing the markets it evaporates capital as well, did that a few times too, this is how the markets are designed to work otherwise you have no business trying to target non private trading returns.

Same architecture Forex, Futures, Stocks, Indexes, not Crypto because institutional don't care about trading that so it doesn't follow standard dynamics, most of time crypto is random variable change except for fat tail moves.

 

[zghorner]

Trend is your friend, ever hear of this? People spend so little time on developing exiting routines and best ways are never exposed in forums. Hundreds of ways to enter but few really good ways to exit.

pretty good book title, wouldn't you agree?

 

[Specterx]

Key word is consistency( on different underlying or timeframes). So is it possible to find an indicator/chart pattern that would always consistently underperform or over perform random entry(50/50 coin flip), no matter the underlying or time frame? Example: Is it possible a certain indicator X would always result in a 30% win-rate(over different underlying or timeframes) as compared to a coin flip that is always around 50/50 over large samples.

The general rule is that simple chart patterns, indicators, and other such public retail BS will result in breakeven minus commissions over a reasonable sample size - assuming you execute mechanically. If you don't execute mechanically, you'll likely buy and sell at the worst times and so do meaningfully worse.

 

[syswizard]

If you don't execute mechanically, you'll likely buy and sell at the worst times and so do meaningfully worse.

Totally agree.

 

[alistera]

What is the name of this firm, so I know where to search within google ?

You can start with KeplerNova.io and go from there, some of it might be firewalled.