Hustles! Hustles! Hustles!
Hedge funds, as a group, are.hudtkes as they figure to underperform reasonable benchmarks, even on a risk adjusted basis.
The main reason the group has underperformed and figures to continue underperforming is that their skill can not outrun their fees. Interestingly, if a fund has an edge over a reasonable benchmark, it may lose that edge if it becomes very large.
There have been and are exceptions, of course:
Thorp had an edge over the market but honorably shut down when his warrant vs stock system edge went away.
Druckenmiller has an edge over reasonable benchmarks, though he is somewhat of an artist rather than a quant. However, his fund has been closed to the public for years.
The Medallion fund has of course crushed in legendary fashion for decades and figures to crush in the future. Alas, the fund has been closed to outsiders for a long time and is capped at ten billion. Why the cap? Just how many edges do you think they can find to run big volume through?
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Street Economics
100 dollar bills do not lie on the sidewalk of a big city very long.
For every buyer there is a seller.
Price trys to discount the future.
* exceptions may occur
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