Get it while it's HOT

Man, you are the guy who opened this thread recommending this trade.
And then even recommending the above book on futures trading.
But still you can't even say how much profit one would make with this trade, not even after studying this book on futures trading.
Is the book that bad that it didn't teach you even this simple thing, or is there maybe another reason? :)
Are you maybe just making some advertisements or so?
Come on! I think not much credibility remains...
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I don't believe I could possibly answer your question.
The markets being what they are, and the fact
it's impossible to gauge what anyone's P/L might
be since a hundred different factors influence
the final outcome.

This is JMHO, the market does not always follow a 1+1= 2 mathematical
rationality. In some cases, I'd say it's more contrary and does the
opposite of what we might expect. I know everyone's has their
own market perspective, for the most part this has been my experience.

I do hope you read the book though, especially since it's free education.:)
 
earth_imperator said:
The highest in the past 1 year (ie. TTM) was about 16628 on about Nov 19 last year.
Currently it's at 13321. That's a change of about -20% in about 8 months.
Let's suppose a trader makes this ideally timed short trade on the said date.
What would the profit be as of now, based on the collateral the trader had to put on the table (ie. margin or cash requirement)?
Is the net profit more than +20%, or is here +20% the max possible?
Sorry, I'm not a futures trader, am just curious to learn the maths & the rules of the game. Thx.

The main advantage seems to be the big liquidity (AvgVolume * AvgPrice) for trading some big money.

And: can one say that tensions like the current ones are useful (at least for the sellers) as then the uncertainty (--> volatility) rises, causing the premiums to rise?
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I just found this online Futures Profit Calculator and computed the above trade example.
Can someone say how much profit this represents in percent?
Ie. how much is here the "invested money" (the margin requirement or whatever it's called in futures trading)?

Futures_PL_calc.png
 
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I just found this online Futures Profit Calculator and computed the above trade example.
Can someone say how much profit this represents in percent?
Ie. how much is here the "invested money" (the margin requirement or whatever it's called in futures trading)?
More...

My math might be wrong. (I did warn you I'm not a math guy)o_O
Try 24.83%
 
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