If a rate cut before the meeting = Bernake is a panicked greenhorn
We got our data point which confirms the Fed's next move, .25 down.
I think you will lose betting on cut before the meeting as well as anything more than .25bps. Now the question is going to be how many cuts we will get in successive meetings. A 4.75 fed funds looks like a good target and an $800 gold price.
Keep the bad businesses borrowing to fuel more weak jobs growth, oh what a model. Hey, stop working for the man and just borrow until the cows come home to start any crap business you can think of because as soon as you start to fail, there will be more money for you.
Good Luck!