Do you think market is about to be bottomed out?

[SunTrader]

That is exactly that- if everyone relevant has (more) inflation then you, your inflation doesen't matter.

My point was look at treasuries/stocks/indexes/commodities/currencies charts for guidance, not an inflation chart.

But inflation does matter. And has nothing whatsoever to do with someone else's inflation rate. Geeeeeeeez

 

[murray t turtle]

Bottom out? In a bear market there can always be rallies of up to ~20%... so of course "bottoming" before that.

But for the bear market in general, my view is "October and SP @ 3000". That would be average size and duration for bears as recorded. I see that as "minimum". This bear could be much longer and much lower than that as "bear market psycho" has not reached acceptance yet in spite of the already decline.

FWIW..

%%
DONT know; but strange how often OCT is a bear killer.
Even though 2008+ 2000, 2001 bears did not bottom in OCT. Ramsey call in show newbie maxed out some additonal credit cards , BIG loss on SPY BUY, payments due in OCT \LOL. Dave ramsey sad he didnt know about OCT \but get rich quick [credit cards] seldom works, So he suggested a loss cutting asap
Strange OCT was noted again............................................................NOT a prediction+not using credit cards, min or max\LOL

 

[HeSaidSheSaid]

I think market would be bottomed out in next summer.

 

[easymon1]

"How many angels can dance on the head of a pin?'

How much wood coulda woodchuck chuck?

 

[Overnight]

How much wood coulda woodchuck chuck?

They don't chuck wood. They are just marmots.

 

[Handle123]

I believe under 2000 or 1500 in S&P's, interest rates way above 10%, no reason for energies except Nat Gas to go down. Eventually, all the help wanted signs will come down replaced with Bankruptcy, unemployment will go up. At what price will food be a luxury? If Biden wanting to bankrupt the country, he going in right direction.

We need steep fast rises to sell more/hedged, what am waiting to do. I like so many optimistic, more opportunities abound.

 

[easymon1]

They don't chuck wood. They are just marmots.

Let me get this straight...

How much wood could a woodchuck chuck?
A woodchuck could chuck all the wood but a woodchuck can't chuck wood?

 

[Overnight]

Let me get this straight...

How much wood could a woodchuck chuck?
A woodchuck could chuck all the wood but a woodchuck can't chuck wood?

Correct.

 

[Cure Vaids]

Markets and economies will collapse already this year a spiritual contact says.
Not sure why. Dollar, the derivatives, people getting sick from the shots etc

 

[atypic_defense]

Yesterday Nasdaq tech 100 index is very leading than Dow Jones and SP500. If yo guys have an idea about sectoral rotation, perhaps gains in tech index may be indication of markets are about to be bottomed out.. Possible of bottom could be due to drastic fall in commodities (most of em, other than crude). So this is reducing fed's job and already worseing economy could be waiting for a rate cut. Perhaps, markets (especially NDX 100) are factoring in that rates are going to be reduced or reversed sooner.

[ The graph above shows the economic cycle in blue, the stock market cycle in orange and the best performing sectors at the top. The blue economic cycle corresponds to the business cycle shown above. The centerline marks the contraction/expansion threshold for the economy. Notice how the orange market cycle leads the business cycle. ]

Just my opinion.