Delirium

[taowave]

Probability hopefully factors in your prediction

You seem confused

If I'm a pro dart player and throw the dart to hit a certain number, am I predicting the outcome?
Or is throwing the dart countless times just a repeated action expecting a probabilty result?
Is probability a prediction?

 

[themickey]

You seem confused

Delirium

 

[ironchef]

Do people think they gain some kind of edge by convincing themselves they're not predicting, they're just following/reacting to noise?

A follower has no edge, the one leading the charge has the edge.

 

[ironchef]

That is literally a prediction.

But I am not predicting where the leader will go next?

 

[newwurldmn]

But I am not predicting where the leader will go next?

yeah you are. When you place the buy, you are predicting the market will rally. And same when it sells off.