I don't think it's true, as it all sounds way too simplistic...
Burry, famous for 'Big Short,' bought bearish options against S&P, Nasdaq 100
- Thread starter ETJ
- Start date
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EVEN IF he posted it in real time \that may not help another trader;
he had $107 million AUM to almost $ 2 Billion jump/in 2023.[Always double check any math, even round numbers]
BUT , say we do+ have done some energy+ tech/INFO Tech trades;
still could pick up some good confirmation, not that you would want to follow him blindly @ all.
He under weighted energy sector a lot compared to SPY, QQQ related ;
most anybody that has traded those 3, in 2023 knows why he did that.
I used his 1st quarter data, 2023, but it's still helpful today; even @ 8-15-2023.
Strange news, noticed @ noon , FOX News reported UBS pays $1.5 Billion fine on 2008 UBS mess.
Good thing i did not read that UBS mess news 22 hours a go, markets went up yesterday. Down\ below 50dma today
So how does this trade finally unwind? He held all those puts as of end of Q2. I am assuming he is going to exercise those options, so he is putting those ETF shares to the people who wrote those puts at the higher price? They collected the premium on those puts but will now be underwater on the shares they now own?
If these puts are "in the money" (etf price under strike price) at expiration, yes, they would be exercised as they are in the money. The other side would have to cover the gain as they had a short option contract, correct.
He doesn't have to excercise, he might sell them back to close position before expiry, roll, leg in into some other complex positions...
Does trend following work in day trading?%%
ITS NOT for me\because i cant trade off his research
But on your question, i remember the turtle test[public version] Suppose you call in a sell or inverse order on QQQ, today + then you find out RichDennis is buying + buying QQQ all week-what then??
I remember back then I thought/ Wow i better be buyin' all week if Rich dennis is
WRONG. The correct answer[ for me] is my plan with a QQQ 2023 50dma\ is sell or inverse ETF buy....... Nota stock or ETF tip.
Its not to mindless follow Rich dennis or any ''guru'' or talkin' snake media unquote.
Even more so , not mindlessly coat-tail with Rich dennis, who did some position limit markets.
Half hour to market close 8-15-23,
I looked up his fund, and assuming the public data is accurate his returns in recent years have been quite good. Seems to overlay stock picking with a Taleb-like strategy of betting on underpriced tail risks.
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YES;
if super selective\
+ size/wise. Not much or many points cutting all trend$ off @ 3:00CST
Thanks. It is reassuring to hear.
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Good thing for me + trend following I dont own a watch @ all;
computer clocks, calender$ , car clock, flip phone clock=FINE LOL.
Ps I would not assume the ETF holders ''are underwater''
even if they bought in 2023, they may have sold many of them, by now.
Even a 7% loss , is nothing, if they took a bigger profit on 80%, or 95%.
[GS, SCHW, Wolverine..... most likely bought QQQ @ inception1999...., even if that is not exactly right +it maybe right, sentence before that is true for some, Overnight-Cramer pic.]