Swapping treasuries for reserves causes inflation, that's a new one. Where was all the rampant inflation during the time of QE ?
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Swapping treasuries for reserves causes inflation, that's a new one. Where was all the rampant inflation during the time of QE ?
Yes, were i involved in those markets. I would have done it sooner though, when it was clear to all of us where we were headed (When Summers was first saying we needed 5% unemployment.) I anticipated that the Powell fed was going to be very old fashioned, and just keep raising until cost of credit began to really hurt. I think FOMC's projection of future rates is too low.Then you think Fed funds futures are a short (you think yield needs to go higher), and would sell US2Yr bonds. The impact of that to long-duration assets would keep you short or underweight.
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During the time of the so called "great money printing" called QE, inflation was in check. Pretty simple to see unless you're a Republican.
Are there any nonconservatives out there who thinks the current inflation wasn't supply chain driven? Anyone not see the shift between goods and services over the past year ? How about corporate greed and artificially keeping prices high? (An easy case is what happened at car dealer auctions, how some big dealers were removing vehicles at the last minute to boost car prices for those who needed inventory).
Or do you believe Republicans that all the so called trillions of printed money over the past decade just decided to buy shit over the past year ?