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    Five months down

    The following is a portion of a newsletter from DIREXION funds. Not my own work. I found the facts to be very interesting in regards to BEAR MARKETS. Sunday, March 9, 2008 "News You Can Use" NOT UP FOREVER - The average return of the S&P 500 in the last 50 years (i.e...
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    Random Walk Theory Proved, once and for all.

    Thanks Wayne The 25 WMA cross needed the 32 years. Thats for sure. I had not run the returns in several years in a shorter time frame. I would guess the price cross of the 20 DMA faired better in the shorter time since 1990 period. I don't use either for trading. Just interesting to...
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    Random Walk Theory Proved, once and for all.

    Good article Thanks Jeff
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    Random Walk Theory Proved, once and for all.

    Sorry I made a typing ERROR. The 20 is DMA in lieu of WMA. The 25 is correct which is WMA. What I find interesting is the 20-DMA strategy only had 40% of its trades showing a profit. Yet it beat BUY & HOLD by 46 to 1 ratio. Very slow system. Jeff @ EOD Traders
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    Random Walk Theory Proved, once and for all.

    There are several Market Timing Models that have been around for years that beat BUY & HOLD. Many are quite simple. The biggest problem today is the investor. Compounding and Patience go hand in hand. It does not require speed trading as much as it does Patience as with many Market Timing...
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