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  1. M

    Formula for Calculating Slope of 200 Day Moving Average

    The Slope of the 200 Day Moving Average seems to carry major importance in determing the direction of a long-term trend. Is it calculated by the following formula? Price Today minus Price 200 days ago divided by 200 days
  2. M

    Historical Data on Credit Suisse Fear Index

    Does anyone know where to get Historical Data on Credit Suisse Fear Index? Thanks, Maverick
  3. M

    How do I get historical data on the "MOVE" index?

    Do you have the link to BBG for getting historical data on the MOVE index?
  4. M

    How do I get historical data on the "MOVE" index?

    How do I get historical data on the "MOVE" index? It is the volatility for bonds. Thanks, Maverick
  5. M

    Trading record audit

    Here's an article about timertrac. They have been around since late 1990's so they have been around for awhile. http://www.investorbrain.com/index.php/logicalblocks/2006/12/
  6. M

    Trading record audit

    timertrac.com audits trading records.
  7. M

    Stockcharts.com is Down

    Stockcharts.com just came up. Apparently, they were doing maintenance.
  8. M

    Stockcharts.com is Down

    I tried several times to get on the stockcharts.com website but it appears to be down. Is anyone able to get into that website? Maverick
  9. M

    Oil entries

    What moving average do you use in your calculation? Personally, I use the 200 day moving average. I calculate the number of standard deviations a particular index/commodity is trading above or below its 200 day moving average. Of particular interest right now is the XAU which is trading...
  10. M

    XAU at 4 Standard Deviations below 200 DMA

    I agree with you 100%. Adding small positions makes sense in this kind of environment. This could qualify as a black swan event for the XAU since a level of 4 standard deviations below its 200 day moving average is such a rare event. The last period of time the XAU was even 3 standard...
  11. M

    XAU at 4 Standard Deviations below 200 DMA

    As of 8/11/08, the XAU stands at 3.98 standard deviations below its 200 day moving average. This may be the largest deviation ever for the XAU below its 200 day moving average. Its scary to get in front of a falling knife but it looks tempting to buy...
  12. M

    Commercial Hedgers are Most Net Long in Crude Oil since Feb 07

    Based on the COT Report for 6/27/08, Commercial Hedgers are the most net long in Crude Oil since February 2007. Not a good sign for people hoping for lower oil prices. Date......Net Position 6/27/2008 4635 6/20/2008 1902 6/13/2008 -13935 6/6/2008 -19676 5/30/2008...
  13. M

    Any chess players here?

    Hi Trapper, I would be open to a game of online chess. I usually play against my Radio Shack 1650 computer chess game but welcome the opportunity to play against someone else who loves the markets and chess. :) Maverick
  14. M

    Run the stock indexes up, oil will follow

    Based on the action on 6/2/08 thru 6/4/08, the stock market and oil were declining as the dollar was rising. Today on 6/5/08, the opposite occurred where the stock market and oil surged as the dollar declined. The fed can turn on the liquidity spigot to keep the stock market up but the...
  15. M

    PE of 87.07 for Dow Jones Industrial in this week's Barrons

    If we solve for E (earnings) by dividing the Today's price (13028.16) by PE (15.58), we get a trailing earnings of $836.21. If the Dow Jones website can verify that the trailing earnings of the DJIA is $836.21, then the PE of 15.58 would be correct. However, Dow Jones also owns Barron's...
  16. M

    PE of 87.07 for Dow Jones Industrial in this week's Barrons

    MONDAY, MAY 19, 2008 Indexes PEs and Yields DJ latest 52-week earnings and dividends adjusted by Dow Divisors at Friday's close. DJ Ind Avg 12986.80 P/E Ratio 87.07 Earns Yield % 1.15 Earns $ 149.16 Divs Yield % 2.45 Divs $ 317.88 Mkt to Book 3.91 Book Value $ 3323.94
  17. M

    was today the top of the bear rally?

    Bullish percent index on the S&P 500 went up to 58.6 from 57.2 yesterday. However, the % of stocks above the 50 DMA for S&P 500 is now 77.76, pretty close to the the % reached at the top in October 2007. Maverick
  18. M

    poor cramer?

    Kramer's % of Accuracy is 46% based on Guru Grades on the following link. http://www.cxoadvisory.com/gurus/
  19. M

    Strong Divergence between XOI and other Energy Proxies

    Strangely, the XOI is up 0.22% at this time while the OSX is down 2.95%, XLE down 2.05%, and USO down 2.98%. Maverick
  20. M

    How to get your Testosterone High?

    Is there any scientific evidence that lack of ejaculation causes lower testosterone production? Boxers tend to refrain from ejaculation before a fight so it does'nt make sense that it would lower one's testosterone level. Maverick
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