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    Why Obama = 1 term president...

    He doesn't embrace economic physics, and will likely be blamed. http://shar.es/a8tE5 "Thus, as others before him have, President Obama is tackling the economy like a war, or a natural disaster, where a few decisions here and some strokes of the pen there should fix the problem in due...
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    James Grant & the USD - contrarian indicator?

    http://shar.es/aIZfF Per JG, the solution to our currency problem: “So our Martian would be mystified and our honored dead distressed. And we, the living? We are none too pleased ourselves. At least, however, being alive, we can begin to set things right. The thing to do, I say, is to...
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    Is Dubai more capitalistic than USA?

    Abdulrahman al-Saley, department of financial chief, states that creditors were responsible for their own lending decisions and should differentiate between companies and the state. Mr. Saleh says, “Creditors need to take part of the responsibility for their decision to lend to the...
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    events are NOT market moving:

    Read this and wondering if anyone agrees? http://www.deleverme.com/2009/11/clip-how-social-mood-can-lead-events/
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    independent state

    all this doomsday talk makes me think we're closer to the bottom than most people think, lol. Yea, I'm being contrarian.
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    independent state

    What was that little event called again, the Civil War?
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    A unique plan to fix the US economy: Thoughts?

    This might sound crazy and would create may questions (especially on feasibility), BUT consider this plan in it's entirety and ask if we'd be better off in 5-10 years from now or worse off... 1. Have the Fed stop the bailouts of the banks, and their "liquidity" programs, and just buy at...
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    50% of US kids will be on Food Stamps

    The old saying goes: "If you wait until you're ready to have kids, you won't have any kids."
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    Wow! Prechter predicts a very severe depression/deflation...

    ... To happen IN 1993 http://articles.latimes.com/1993-06-11/business/fi-2172_1_stock-market-cycles :)
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    Paul Tudor Jones sees boom and going for gold

    But this is contra to his buddy Prechter's scenario of Dow 500, and S&P at 5. They must have had a falling out.
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    CNBC Viewership Plunges 50% In October

    This is bullish for stocks. The washout event happend when the Dow hit 6,000 - now the average joe, and his hedge funds, have been removed from the markets, as evidenced by the low volume during the rally. Thus, expect a pull-back and a ho hum market for years to come - until the consumer...
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    The problems with Prechter's doomsday

    Another problem to add: 7. In the deflationary bear market bomb, the Dow and the S&P lose 90% of their value from the peak. Yet, the dollar will be in a multi-year bull market, as the need to grab dollars to pay of debts, margin, etc. ensues. Okay, I agree that the dollar has reached a...
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    The problems with Prechter's doomsday

    I have much respect for Prechter and his analysis of the markets. And yes he's been wrong as well as right in the past. But his signature contribution to the markets today may be in the field of socionomics, which predicts a historic negative social mood in the near future. As such, he...
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    Still scared of the future?

    Why? Gov't is always last to react. I think the bigger, more serious question that we have to answer is whether the Gov't can do anything to stimulate the economy? Even in the short term, even having it's balance sheet becoming the most levered hedge fund in the world, there has been no...
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    Still scared of the future?

    Hopefully this subject line will not get this post deleted, but: The Fed has interest rates at 0% - .25%; still paying reserve interest to banks; has become the effective counterparty to derivatives of the big banks; has devised programs such as CP, TALF, TARP, Cash for Clunkers, MBS, and...
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    global macro short term

    This guy does... nickname is Alphabet Puzzler
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    Don't want to spread hearsay, but Wells Fargo and put volume?

    Anyone hear anything with regard to Wells Fargo? Just heard BBG say that there is "talk on the tradefloor with regards to heavy put volume". Any info? CRE related?
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    Best and worst influences on my P&L over the last 10 years

    Ghost of Cutten, So how do you do your own market research without looking at the trash that's out there? I mean, I wold think you are at least looking at the headlines and rubbish to perhaps setup a contrary play. Or do you purely look at the numbers, price, with no story or headlines as...
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    Obama needs to be a dad, not a friend...

    I'm all for a hip young president. I'm all for him filling our his brackets, and using blackberries. I'm all for one who is with pop culture. But Jay Leno? Come on bro. Jay Leno Show? What's next, Conan O'brien? It's cool to have a fresh perspective and president... but how fresh...
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