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  1. J

    Random Chart Contest: RESULTS!

    Dont worry, I think we will have another one in the future. But first, I would like to do some research to make it as true a random walk as possible. I would also like to use much larger histories, but this is going to take some work in picking the true histories so that they arent obvious...
  2. J

    Challenge: Real or Random?

    I dont think I really understand your question. But, go here: http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=11820&perpage=6&pagenumber=1 And go to the top of the thread to see the answers. For the original charts, go here: http://users.rcn.com/jmcgraw/ I hope that helps.
  3. J

    Random Chart Contest: RESULTS!

    Go here: http://users.rcn.com/jmcgraw/ and click on "raw data". Its all there. .
  4. J

    Challenge: Real or Random?

    The Results have been posted: http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&postid=169474#post169474
  5. J

    Random Chart Contest: RESULTS!

    Hello everyone, It is time to announce the answers for the random chart contest held this past week. (I know, I am a little later than I promised) The original thread is located here for your reference...
  6. J

    Challenge: Real or Random?

    Just an update. I will be posting the answers to the challenge on Monday. So if anyone else wants to participate, you have a couple more days: http://users.rcn.com/jmcgraw/ .
  7. J

    Challenge: Real or Random?

    I really like the idea of obscure bar times on intraday charts... Even better if the data is a year or two old. I guess the best approach would be to mix all these ideas together and not just use one. .
  8. J

    Challenge: Real or Random?

    I seriously thought about this, but I find a rather significant problem, the real data. If it is a long history, it is MUCH more likely that the average trader will recognize it, even if only subconsciosly. Maybe an idea would be to use actively traded foreign stocks? I do like your...
  9. J

    Challenge: Real or Random?

    LOL!!! I did this on purpose! I transposed all the real data to start at 30! :) If I left the real prices it would be too easy to figure out which is which. Trust me, they are NOT all random. You will see when I give the results. I will reveal which charts are real and their exact...
  10. J

    Challenge: Real or Random?

    No trickery, I promise. :) .
  11. J

    Challenge: Real or Random?

    Go here: http://users.rcn.com/jmcgraw/ Click on "Raw Data", and then download the tab-deliminated text files. You can then load the data right into your charting program and zoom in and out all you like.
  12. J

    Challenge: Real or Random?

    I fixed the problem. Please try again.
  13. J

    Challenge: Real or Random?

    I have posted raw data as well as candlestick charts to the website... So go ahead and check it out: http://users.rcn.com/jmcgraw/index.htm -
  14. J

    Challenge: Real or Random?

    dottom I dont know what brownian motion is. But this is what I do. I set up levels of probability, then set a volatility for each probability. So an open gap of 0% to 0.5% might have a 80% probability. A 0.5 to 1.5% might have a 19.9% probability, and a 1.5% to 8% gap might have a 0.10%...
  15. J

    Challenge: Real or Random?

    I will post tab deliminated text files of the data as soon as I can. I just need to filter the data so it all looks the same and there are no giveaway clues of which charts are which. I will also try to get some candlestick charts up as soon as I can.
  16. J

    Challenge: Real or Random?

    Background I have written a little program in Excel that creates charts in accordance with specified volatility settings (I adjust these to simulate stocks with different trading characteristics) but with a 50/50 probability of either opening up or down on any given day. (The close price...
  17. J

    Taxes

    Wow, I guess my question wasnt dumb. Looks like nobody really knows the answer. Who could I ask? Preferably without paying a fee. :)
  18. J

    Taxes

    I know this is probably a stupid question, but this is my first year trading with profits in the 10's of thousands. (I've traded for 4 years, but with 4 to 5k, little to no net profits, and not really paying attention to taxes) My question is about the $3000 loss write-off limit. Is this...
  19. J

    No Formal Education

    Good Trading and a Good Education have nothing to do with each other. In fact, Victor Sparandeo once paid a guy he was training NOT TO GO TO COLLEGE.
  20. J

    Democrats want to stop Short-selling

    The problem with these politicians is that they often own stock, or even actively trade. They probably arent very good at it, and dont put too much thought and work into it. I'm sure they go through the same emotional roller-coaster that many "gambler" traders go through. We've all read...
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