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  1. M

    trader's market commentary

    061007 market next week: a world of 2 non-men and 2.5 men Marketreflections.com Disclaimer: marketreflections.com is not politically associated with any political organization, and often uses “political incorrect” language in its analysis. It is politically “neutral” and provides...
  2. M

    trader's market commentary

    "Hide brightness, nourish obscurity" ________________________________________ 060107 Tao Guang Yang Hui (躹âÑø»Þ), or "Hide brightness, nourish obscurity" Marketreflections.com Watching today¡¯s wresting of bears and bulls with each other, particularly on those mega caps...
  3. M

    trader's market commentary

    my daily post at http://www.itulip.com/forums/showthread.php?t=1289
  4. M

    trader's market commentary

    051707 What is the next elevator for wolfs to shoot down? marketreflections.com “No absolute reference frame”, Einstein said. Wolfs probably understand that very well. Once they find that market participants have a fixation on an “absolute reference frame”, whether it is about a...
  5. M

    trader's market commentary

    051707 Has Bill Gross's clock slowed? Marketreflections.com Between an ideologue and a chartist, as one of my postings titled, I struggle everyday. But, let start with Bill Gross first. Bill Gross, uneasily sitting on the rising front end of the yield curve, with his huge bet on 2Y...
  6. M

    trader's market commentary

    When CCP discounts, Uncle Sam buys Marketreflections.com I have defined the CCP discount in my previous writing: since “911” and China’s joining of WTO in Nov 2001, and the ever improving comradeship between Uncle Sam and Comrade CCP, the twin captains of global capitalism train...
  7. M

    trader's market commentary

    050707 The “perfect twin engines” of global capitalism train US economic “macros”: GDP real growth rate 3.9 2004 3.2 2005 3.3 2006 2.1 2007 (projected) Productivity: about 3.0%, 2000 –2005, about 2.5% 2005-2007 Inflation as measured by spread...
  8. M

    trader's market commentary

    Don’t fight the Fed, just ignore him Because we are all smarter than Bernanke, That is, of course, one of the most market participants’ “beliefs”. In fact, Ben, and the Fed have been fairly correct, clear and consistent in their view of US economy, if “ambiguous” about their rate...
  9. M

    trader's market commentary

    AAPL, the American idol not because Looprumers.com says Apple's iPhone could gain as much as 6% of the U.S. mobile market by next year. In a broader sense, Steve Jobs, together with Bill Gates, Michael Dell and Steve Case, all have charmed and fascinated American growth investors, and...
  10. M

    trader's market commentary

    Rich is bullish, and bullish is rich This is of course one of the “extremist theories” subject to dispute. IBD reported today that among wealthy Americans (at least $5M net, excluding primary residences), total asset invested via hedge fund were 2.5% now via 1.7% last year; 17% of...
  11. M

    trader's market commentary

    What is capitalism and democracy? A “capital weighted average” Having stayed around in a few places, seeing “socialism”(close to but not really what Marx had in his mind), European and US capitalism, I have to say that US capitalism is the capitalism in its “strongest form”...
  12. M

    trader's market commentary

    “Gone with the Wind” If you are an investor, you really need to chew US economic numbers, and the chewing almost becomes both a science and an art. The growth is .., the inflation is.., actual vs. expected, etc. Sometimes, my readers complain that they don’t know what I am really...
  13. M

    trader's market commentary

    Invest with trend, trade with MMs Trading, daily or swing, is largely a game with MMs, or market makers, particularly of those WS firms, such as GS, ML, and UBS, which are also among the 21 so-called primary dealers of bonds, who trade directly with the Fed. Functionally, MMs are supposed...
  14. M

    trader's market commentary

    Pricing a world on board the global capitalism train co-captained by US & China Briefly scanning through “A global history: from prehistory to the 21st century, by L.S. Stavianos”, I can’t find any period in human history where almost the entire population on earth of different...
  15. M

    trader's market commentary

    You just don’t want to be outsmarted, by nobody Rich or poor, strong or week, communist or capitalist, we all have to play in this increasingly popular capitalism game, as long as we are alive. Except for a few incidents here and there such as the recent killing of Chinese oil workers in...
  16. M

    trader's market commentary

    It’s so scary not to be biased Per wikipedia.org “A bias is a prejudice in a general or specific sense, usually in the sense for having a preference to one particular point of view or ideological perspective. However, one is generally only said to be biased if one's powers of...
  17. M

    trader's market commentary

    Animal spirits chases sun "Most, probably, of our decisions to do something positive, the full consequences of which will be drawn out over many days to come, can only be taken as the result of animal spirits - a spontaneous urge to action rather than inaction, and not as the outcome of a...
  18. M

    trader's market commentary

    The capitalism’s enemy: not Marxism, but “climate change” The death of Yeltsin, unlike the picture in which he stood atop a tank, defing the August coup attempt of 1991, did not get much attention from international media. And Gorbachev, once the boss of Yeltsin and everybody else in...
  19. M

    trader's market commentary

    You almost have to jump, just like SOLF FA, TA, PA are all “tools”, and bears, bulls, Fed, socialists, CCP, and capitalists are all “players”, and S&P500, CCP200 are all “chips”. My philosophy of trading or investing is “role playing”, seeing the market and economy though the...
  20. M

    trader's market commentary

    When war is neither “hot” nor “cold”, money is the bullet Knowing that, CCP is producing money (not M2, but GDP) fast, with China GDP grows 11.1% in Q1, 2007. Can China manage its growth in a sustainable fashion? The question prompted some kind of cross-board selling of CCP200...
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