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    09-18-2008: we hit bottom today

    Maybe a day early. Interesting VIX today, with a high and low range of 9 points. When it has happened before, it was at a selling climax. link to article/charts http://whatstrading.com/vix-and-v-shapes/
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    When VIX is over 30 and expecting a huge rally - what is the best options trade?

    When IV is high, you can sell credit spreads instead of straight puts or butterfly spreads. YOu might look at the SKF, which moves inverse to the financials but by 2x as much. careful out there.
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    Anybody else short US 30 Bond

    I have, the TY, but don't anymore. I usually stop when the pits close at 3:00 ET. Too thin, not enough movement, but if you like trding low volatility, it might be for you.
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    Najarian's optionMONSTER InsideOptions?

    Some hedge funds use condors. More of them use butterflies and many of the butterflies are directional, meaning they make bests profits when the stock moves into a certain range. I don't know about optionmonster InsideOptions. I'm sure there is some good stuff in there because these guys are...
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    What is the last trading day?Thanks!

    SPX is the most actively traded index contract. However, some etfs, (QQQQ, IWM, and SPY) see more volume. Since they settle like stock options, you might take a look at those too.
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    volatility confusion between ib and ivolatility

    this is way too low for ETFC. It would never be this low unless it was being acquired or for some reason the stock simply stopped moving. the first numbers seem more accurate. might have been a glitch in IB's system.
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    Need advice on option strategy

    I would strongly encourage you to learn more before you trade optoins. Also, your broker might limit the trading strategies available if you don't have any experience. You will need to submit an options approval form to begin trading options. Options strategies really can vary in terms of...
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    Suggestions of ways to play oil long.

    Long USO shares, calls, or bullish spreads. Or, the XLE, but that doesn't hold oil, it holds energy companies.
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    Rackspace IPO on Friday August 8th

    you would think on a day when the Dow rallies 300 points an IPO would do a little better. still a poor IPO market I guess. Or, maybe this company just isn't a good investment. I don't know, maybe one or both. here's an article about it http://www.ecommercetimes.com/rsstory/64102.html
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    ETFs for Oil and Currencies

    I think there's little risk of that. lol. but good luck with your $ trade
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    What is a good website for historical IV?

    historical volatility is simply a measure of past volatility, it's the annualized standard deviatoin. you can use other indicators like Wilder's Average True Range to get a general sense. you can find atr and standard deviation on stockcharts. com. if you want SV, also check livevol.com or...
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    ETFs for Oil and Currencies

    There's the eui, fxe, and xde. check the products specs though, because some might be inverse. some are indexes. i think only the fxe is an ETF. you can always trade puts or calls and get negative correlation., good luck.
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    ETFs for Oil and Currencies

    did you check DUG? There's DIG and then the ultra oil and gas, Symbol: DUG. But I guess you're looking for USO, but ultra short. I don't think so because its a commodity fund. I could be wrong though, check the ETF section at amex.com
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    nice to see WFMI get its butt kicked. You cant cheat forever

    it's not that expensive. ha interesting post on WhatsTrading.com before the earnings: "the options market is priced for some volatility (possible earnings gap move of 11.2 percent) and this is probably due to two factors: 1) WFMI has missed analyst estimates during the three previous...
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    Anybody else short US 30 Bond

    i think a lot of people are looking for the market to react to stocks and so it doesn't. i find it very difficult to time entries based on what the stock market is doing. my better trades come when i just look at the bond chart and forget about stocks. it's been so choppy i moved to the...
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    Does CSCO still matter anymore?

    since Cisco's business is heavily influenced by IT spending, it is considered a bellwether for the technology sector. i don't think its earnings matter to say, McDonalds or Walmart, but it does for chip, software, computer, etc companeis.
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    Anybody else short US 30 Bond

    weird action today. seems like everything was coming together to sink bonds. I was kicking myself when I didn't get short after jobs data, but by the end of the day I was glad I didn't. No clue where that rally came from. I agree that tone seems to support upside. Nothing tomorrow...
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    What are the most volatile futures markets?

    I would say that the most volatile markets are the ones that will require the most margin. Look for the ones that have seen a recent increase in margin requirements and those are probably the ones seein increasing volatility.
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    MER Insider Trading

    There was an interesting spike in put volume Thursday. I agree, must have been some leaks or something. timing is too coincidental http://seekingalpha.com/article/87224-whats-the-matter-with-merrill-lynch
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    Calendar adjustment

    it depends on what you think the stock will do. if you want more juice and think it will hold above $125 hold the short put longer. It will lose value a lot faster than the december. Time decay is fastest in the front month. There's no reason to close it unless you think the stock is going to...
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