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    Who is your "guru"?

    Not gurus to me but people I respect and have learned a thing or two from: Stanley Kroll Ed Seykota Jesse Livermore Dan Zanger Andre Kostolany They all have in common: To make big money one needs a big market move.
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    Astrological Theory of Markets Cycles.

    Boy oh boy. Kindly consider that it is thanks to science, which all to often gets vilified, that that computer used to post the ideas exists and is powered. Science is right before your noses. Applying the scientific method to subjects like astrology is not an attack but serves to...
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    Astrological Theory of Markets Cycles.

    Interesting thread. Always happy to examine new or different approaches to speculation. Forgot where I read this but it went something like this: The moon exerts force on water. People move markets and consist to 80% of water. That is a lot of water. :) Certainly not a satisfying...
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    How to "sit" on a position during a big move

    I came to the conclusion that even if I foresee a move correctly it is impossible for me to foresee how exactly the move will unfold. This was a most crucial understanding for me. It pointed me towards my present solution and simplified things for me very much. It is always a work in progress...
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    Accumulation v Distribution

    In classical TA you have accumulation-markup-distribution-markdown. I believe it comes from Wyckoff but am not sure. The sequence may also extend like accumulation-markup-reaccumulation-markup etc. So the thing is to determine what the sideways movements after trending phases are. Is a...
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    POLL: Position traders, do you enter on breakouts or pullbacks?

    In my opinion in principle entering on pullbacks but not on breakouts assures that one gets every losing trade of one's method because every losing trade pulls back by definition and one misses the winners that don't pull back. Entering on pullbacks has its place such as in automatic...
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    Two Graphs Explaining the Coming Market Crash

    The inflation adjusted earnings chart looks scary. However, stocks aren't quoted in inflation adjusted terms. I'd imagine many stock charts would look similar when adjusted for inflation.
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    Tools for Swing Trading

    Amibroker can collect data from Yahoo and has a scanner. There are free scanners on the web - Yahoo, finviz.com, moneycentral.msn.com and others.
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    Who at ET trades for a living?

    Full time since about 20 years. Hugely lucky at start then lean years with lessons and pain then systems-based breakthrough, now mix of approaches and instruments, moving from mechanical to discretionary. I never traded for a living but for a fortune. This point I personally find important. I...
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    Commodity crash - worse than 2000 tech bust

    To me it seems price finding is a mix of available money, psychology and supply and demand fundamentals. Available money looks like the dominant factor at this time. When money is tight prices have a hard timet rising and when money is needed badly prices fall be other fundamentals what they...
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    Amibroker: IB Advance/Decline line symbol

    Thank you. TWS finds NYSE advance decline but I don't get any data for it, neither in TWS nor in Amibroker. Amex and Nasdaq A/D also don't work. I get data for the Tick index. Do you get A/D data from IB?
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    Amibroker: IB Advance/Decline line symbol

    I'm trying to find out IB's symbol for the NYSE Advance/Decline line to chart it with Amibroker. Tried AD-NYSE-INDEX, AD-NYSE-IND without success. Would be glad if someone could let me know the symbol.
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    trend following

    IMO, "the trend" doesn't exist as an absolute. Whether you have a trend or not depends on how you define and measure trend. It depends on timeframe under study and sensitivity of the trend following method. Maybe determining what you are after is a good starting point.
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    The Next Bubble

    I'd actually bet on price inflation but not before uptrends in commodities have established themselves. Inflationary measures by governments and related bodies don't come unexpected. In democracies populist policies are common. Also, people in charge will act just to justify their positions and...
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    The Next Bubble

    Looks like there is a bubble building in cash. The same amount of cash now buys a lot more oil, metals, real estate, shares and so on. Just look at charts upside down to see the building cash bubble. :eek:
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    Highest dividend?

    Thanks. Will take a look. I try to find out if banks without the so-called toxic assets got clobbered with the rest or if they held up better.
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    Highest dividend?

    Interesting thread. Know of any banks without toxic assets?
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    Trading Mistakes

    Taking too small positions. Exiting too early, both in profit and loss.
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    Optimization vs Robustness

    Great forum on systems: www.tradingblox.com/forum/ "Trading systems and methods" by Perry Kaufman. Have yet to read "Way of the turtle" by Curtis Faith, many rave about it. Michael Covel is a controversial author but he does explain trend following. "Winner take all" by William Gallacher...
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    Why must I lose?

    Referring to my earlier posts I should add that I am a longer-term position trader and my comments were made from that perspective. In day trading breakeven stops may very well be useful, can't say.
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