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  1. T

    Prove to me that Technical Analysis Works.

    bumping this thread again. Quite enjoyable to read
  2. T

    100 Reasons Why Your Strategy Sucks

    No, I was comparing the cons of strategies, and I was showing that value investing is better than crypto, because Value Investing's downfalls are far less than those of crypto, for example, and therefore you should do value or macro investing, not TA or crypto. Perhaps I could have worded this...
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    100 Reasons Why Your Strategy Sucks

    Hello, I will explain why various trading+investing strategies are a complete waste of time. I will go from the best strategy to the worst. Each point will be a criticism, or a reason not to use each strategy. I will assume that most of you know what these are, so no explainer is needed...
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    American Express .... yours truly shorting AXP to bankruptcy

    did you forget to take your pills or something?
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    American Express .... yours truly shorting AXP to bankruptcy

    This is beyond stupid. Using some silly line to predict bankruptcy is like bringing a plastic knife to a nuke fight. Enjoy your margin call. You provide no rational reason for Amex to be bankrupt in the future. And no, your goofy little lines cannot describe the financial condition (or future)...
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    META Future Probabilities (FA)

    Honestly, the Metaverse is going nowhere. It is just a silly little video game, and I have huge doubts that anything will come of it, outside of being a cut and paste of VRChat. Besides the Metaverse, FB, Instagram, and WhatsApp are all very good businesses, which are sure to generate cash flow.
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    META Future Probabilities (FA)

    Hello EliteTrader, I have done a DCF analysis for Facebook, and I have 3 different scenarios that I came up with; however, I would like some feedback as to how probable each one is. 3 scenarios: Profit continues to grow roughly 10% per year, and Facebook remains as a “going concern”...
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    Discounted Cash Flow

    Which RIM model should I use? Also, if possible, which one do you use?
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    Discounted Cash Flow

    Hello EliteTrader, I can already predict that 90% of you will scroll past this, because this is FA and not TA. However, I have a question, which types of companies does DCF apply to, and which ones do DCF not apply to? I am currently analyzing an investment service firm (NOT A BANK), however...
  10. T

    Prove to me that Technical Analysis Works.

    You can time the market-- however you don't use technicals. Use insider buying and the Shiller PE ratio. (Hint: the dip isn't going up for a while)
  11. T

    Credit spread ETF?

    king of comedy over here.
  12. T

    Credit spread ETF?

    Can't you just short/long two different bond future contracts? Like legging into a spread.
  13. T

    Prove to me that Technical Analysis Works.

    Predictable. Nothing could possibly go wrong by being exposed to consumer debt during a recession...
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    Hedge funds buying houses: How are the loans structured?

    Nobody asked for your opinion. I asked about how they buy them
  15. T

    Prove to me that Technical Analysis Works.

    So why not hold for the long term? Adjusted for taxes, long term always trumps short term
  16. T

    Prove to me that Technical Analysis Works.

    Debt to equity, ROE, DCF and PE ratios are all I look at. I barely even look at forecasts. Plus, buy-and hold would have a nearly identical return.
  17. T

    Prove to me that Technical Analysis Works.

    I use a complex formula, this one is similar: It takes interest rates (perpetual growth rates) into account as well.
  18. T

    Prove to me that Technical Analysis Works.

    I am not holding any stocks at the moment, because I do not believe there is any good opportunity. However, I am interested in buying Magna, Petrobras, and Hamilton Lane in the future. Magna makes consoles, and other parts for cars. They also do contract car building (similar to Foxconn). My...
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    Stagflation and investment banks

    Good times = ridiculous leverage Bad times = government bailouts Thanks a lot, Keynes
  20. T

    Prove to me that Technical Analysis Works.

    I am still reading it. I just don't bother to argue with TA traders, because they live in their own reality. I do appreciate that I was given an explanation. However, I know that TA traders are wrong, because fundamentals outperform, and technicals don't. It seems like fundamentals always do...
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