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Its of course too easy to say now that you should have scaled up your contracts when your account grew, which would then have you earning enough per day to have matched your real estate income, but none of this helps now. I understand that the volatility made you scared, but since you were in...

Exactly. We really have to wait to see what happens after the months of stimulus stops and when all businesses are allowed to re-open. Then we see where the new equilibrium is. My guess is that support will be continued, much like UBI, and the market will accept this. It will shrug off the...

Its possible. I read that with fewer cases, its making it difficult to do a proper study. I guess you need to find a hot spot with good infection rates where you can give some the vaccine and some a placebo, to really test the efficacy of the drug. If few new cases are being reported, it...

My guess is that the rally isn't because traders feel the economy is great, its because inflation will hit, and therefore, valuations will have to adjust. I think we are past the point of no returns with regards to giving out free money. It will continue, and the debt will be inflated away...

I tend to agree. I think going forward, everything about business and economy will change. On the one hand, governments are showing they can print forever and interest rates don't matter. That totally screws up all the models of the past decades. These old guys can't use the same metrics...

I was surprised to read that Ichan is such a big shareholder.

War had always been the "go to" mechanism for distraction of economic calamity. While the US is fighting, the huge increase in inflation in order to fight the debt crisis will get swept under the rug. Then all the unemployed can go fight and have something to do. War will "fix" many problems.

I agree with what you say, but why can't China lie? What duty does China have to be 100% transparent with their reporting? The US isn't any better with much info they release. All info that is released is massaged to fit a certain political narrative.

I appreciate you saying this. Because hafez made it sound like you guys were friends, I wanted to verify this connection. But I obviously didn't hear back and just got blocked. You keep standing up for NQ so reputation is obviously a big thing.

Its kind of hard to challenge this guy when he blocks any person who questions him. The only ones left are his multiple aliases praising him. LOL

I think that's because he is a value investor. There was no value in these companies past a certain price. The stock prices going up was the result of share buybacks. I think in his time, the market made more sense and was based on fundamentals. Now, those fundamentals have changed. Its...

So for a couple of weeks now I've been seeing that from the main forum list, the bold feature isn't working. Usually the threads that have posts in them which you haven't read are displayed in bold. It makes it super easy to see which threads are new that you haven't yet read. But now, all...

You make it sound like all your analysis gave you a better than 80% chance of knowing what was going to happen after the opening bell, or rather, after the first 15 minute opening range. I'm saying that you probably didn't have a better than 60% chance. You already admit that day trading based...

I'm surprised to see a person with your experience say this. Just because it opens with a huge gap up, there is hardly even a 60% guarantee that it will continue. Filling the gap is first on my mind. But then of course you don't know if it will start to fill the gap from the first tick, or...

Can we see a chart with your trades?

Yes, that is true, but in general, it seems to move quite well with regards to the price of gold. I wasn't looking for advice on how to trade it, but simply a discussion about this decay factor. If lets say you're bullish on gold and thinks it can hit 2000, then obviously NUGT will go up. But...

I'm an options amateur, so I'm not quite sure if you answered the question or not. How does buying the 3x ETF compare with the options play when you get to the bottom line? The trick with options is that you have to figure out a date as well as a strike, correct? At least with an ETF you just...

Don't overlook the unintended consequences of overloaded hospitals. Yes, I agree that same amount of people will probably die, either sooner with no lockdown, vs. later if they let it eventually spread over months with no vacine. But if the hospital system is overloaded, its not just a matter...

Speaking of human stupidity, I remember reading a post where you finally put a number to your wild calls. You said: "dips will be 5-10% ish no more, actually even 10% is unlikely" Reference: https://www.elitetrader.com/et/threads/doom.339492/page-2#post-4995097 So since we "dipped" 36%...

You want evidence? You're going around telling everyone that your wife brought it from Singapore and that you're sure you had it, and that you also gave it to all your friends. There is zero evidence that you actually had it. Since you are so damn sure, I wish they would send you to the...