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  1. Carneros8

    Do you have a system or method to analyze your system/trades?

    lets say you have over 1000 trades for the course of 1yr. How do you go about analyze your trading system? Do you look at every single trade? Do you look at your best days and worst days? And what attributes do you look for among your sample to improve your system? This is usually meant for...
  2. Carneros8

    Some notes by Ernie Chan

    Ideally, the set of optimal parameters and decisions for the first part of the backtest period is also the optimal set for the second period, but things are rarely this perfect. The performance on the second part of the data should at least be reasonable. Otherwise, the model has data-snooping...
  3. Carneros8

    Setting "Proper" stops in trend strategy?

    tomorton, I'm getting to understand the ATR stop, but please help me so I can understand it in completion especially the trailing ATRs. My understanding is that upon opening a trade, you look at the ATR value and you set your stop to 2x that value. That is understood and clear. However, when...
  4. Carneros8

    Setting "Proper" stops in trend strategy?

    what if you bought the exact high upon entry?
  5. Carneros8

    For successful intraday traders / strategies

    This is meant for intraday, using a retail platform, with futures.
  6. Carneros8

    For successful intraday traders / strategies

    How would you categorize your strategy? Please vote below: 1.Identify trend then go with the trend 2. guess where trend might stop and play the reversal 3. rangebound scalping
  7. Carneros8

    How Long Are Your Trades

    how long are your trades?
  8. Carneros8

    Setting "Proper" stops in trend strategy?

    This is for initial stops only. Such as where do you place your stop as soon as you enter the trade. Once in the money or as the trade progresses, maybe things can be handled differently or in other ways
  9. Carneros8

    Setting "Proper" stops in trend strategy?

    pardon my ignorance, maybe it's early in the morning, so I think that is a separate discussion.
  10. Carneros8

    Setting "Proper" stops in trend strategy?

    it is an art to properly set them. but yes, it needs to be done, i guess like putting in brakes in the car. This question is especially difficult for trend strategies as you need to give room to the whipsaws and of course, still stay in for the trend...
  11. Carneros8

    Setting "Proper" stops in trend strategy?

    can you describe more about ATR20? Do you mean the 2x the value of ATR20 upon execution of your strategy?
  12. Carneros8

    Setting "Proper" stops in trend strategy?

    Age old question but let me hear how you rationalize where proper stops should be set. Please keep in mind that this is for initial stop loss only, i.e. as soon as you get filled on your initiating order. Few things to consider: 1. Do you have a fixed ticks stop loss? How do you determine...
  13. Carneros8

    Difference of two SMA Length as momentum

    that should be the case with any system development. It is not the specifics that can be applied throughout the different assets or symbols but rather the general ideas. In any system, there is inherent bias in anything we do. For example if you happen to start researching a system in summer...
  14. Carneros8

    Difference of two SMA Length as momentum

    Hi Expiated, Thank you for your reply, and your insights to a fruitful discussion. Like you said, I agree that it is near impossible to apply the same settings or analysis to different markets as each market is unique in its own, but rather the same general idea can be applied but must be...
  15. Carneros8

    Why is Ninja Trader worth $1,000.00?

    yeah I figured someone on your level would go the cloud route.
  16. Carneros8

    Software for market replay and simulation

    I like NT market replay and in terms of historical, the execution is not precise as it only has OHLC info in historical data so your entries will not be accurate at all. They explain that on their help guide. However, the market replay is much better and precise. I just wish they have a backtest...
  17. Carneros8

    Quantitative Analysis to improve probability and results

    hey Mark I can understand that the approach above can be geared towards a quant that purely relies on big data to find edge. However, it can also be a tool/method used for trade analysis. If someone wrote an automated strategy based on sound general principles, how would one attempt to improve...
  18. Carneros8

    Why is Ninja Trader worth $1,000.00?

    Hi RedDuke, do you have your strategies on a cloud server or just a really beefy computer? If you don't mind, can you describe the specs?
  19. Carneros8

    Quantitative Analysis to improve probability and results

    By looking at your winners and losers in your strategy, you might have looked at attributes at the time of your trade execution for further analysis. For example, if you have a trend following strategy, you might jot down somethings like "quality of a trend", "volatility", "momentum", etc... and...
  20. Carneros8

    Difference of two SMA Length as momentum

    does anyone here use the difference of two SMA periods as a gauge of momentum? For example, the difference in ticks of the classic 20SMA and 50SMA for trend direction and momentum?
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