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Expectancy is definitely positive, but it differs from different currency pairs to different instruments and different years. I guess in the end a huge part of it depends on "luck", after you've done and control what you can, the rest is for the market to decide. For example, if a trending...

Say NZD Employment, sometimes when the actual is worse than forecast and previous numbers, it doesn't react much. But sometimes it does. Why so?

But why? More noise? I trade Forex, so it might be because not all volume is speculative and business need to exchange money whenever they want so will cause more "random" movement/noise?

Markets seldom make TEXTBOOK/"perfect"/"nice" trend. e.g. higher highs higher lows repeating and repeating. The true test of consistent trading is being able to trade through not so easily identifiable trends. For example, if the chart is in an uptrend but has subtle hints that the uptrend is...

And why? Because technical analysis works because other people are doing it, therefore high liquidity pairs? What do you think?

What do you guys think?

https://www.tradingview.com/x/Jkx8vxK1/ - This does look more bearish than bullish, a strong move down, I expect a small retracement and don't see it actually having a big bounce off support. https://www.tradingview.com/x/NtooRUU3/ - On a bigger picture, it's actually testing the edge of the...

so if you lose 50 in a row, you keep trading as per usual? Usually if I lose like quite a few then I'll go back to reviewing. Do you trade FX?

How many? The point when you decide "sh*t! I might be deviating from my rules" or thinking its time to review the strategy again?

What do you guys do/recommend? Short term happiness or long term benefits?

Those of you who have traded for many years. Curious to know what kind of performance variance from year to year. I trade currencies mainly on hourly timeframe. But havent been in this game for more than 6 years, so would like to hear about others. What instruments and time frame do you trade...

In my previous thread, I said that exits are more important than entries. I would like to rephrase it. The most important thing is structure. To me, it is also the trend (or consolidation). Proper identification often GREATLY increases the probability of your trade working out. By saying...

Whats your win rate?

I always thought these 10+ or 20+ straight losses were just a myth or something that happens in theory. But damn, even risking 1% which what I am doing now has made me taken quite a decent chunk off my account, it's less than 10% but still, there's a hole. Going to be trading 1% still so no...

23.... how did you feel? I might have thought system stops working from this point on even though I have backtest data if I lost 23... that would take some time to recover..

Yeap, happy it did, learning from it.

Nope, nothing different at all!

Never had such a bad lose streak before, but risk is controlled. I know getting lose streaks happens, but never had any above 3-4. I know this is possible on paper and in theory. But how often does this happen to you?

Often times I feel this way, getting a entry is not difficult, it's about how you manage the trade after you enter. Where should you exit in a trending market? Or certain scenarios where it is appropriate, often I feel it's experience or chart time. Entries are built upon research and testing...

Not very experienced. Less than 1%