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Cool. Thanks for the clarification.

Since I am into math, would you mind (if you got the time) explain your approach and methodology? I believe it would give me a good perspective of the actual methodologies used inside hedge funds.

Martinghoul, I see you are completely opposed to the use of Kelly or Optimal F. In your opinion which are the better rules to go by?

Since you like throwing ideas and you talked about numbers lets see something imaginary. An uncle gave you $2 Billion (with a B). You decided to invest $1B in real estate (not REITs but directly to properties yourself eg an apartment in New York and so on) and left the other $1B for the markets...

Daal You are indeed rambling but you are also throwing lots of ideas through that rambling so keep it going. :P I would love to throw some ideas back and forth with you like with Ghost but I am still learning and new to the game so not much I can add at this moment without sounding stupid. At...

Good would be nice to see how this one unfolds especially for Ackman. I respect the guy and wouldnt want to see him out the market. I kinda enjoy his shenanigans on TV.

Do you still hedge PSH with VRX or did you drop it?

Thanks for the quotes from O'shea. I understand his thinking better now. I agree that it is better to try to become better at adjusting quickly to changes in the markets rather than try to predict them. Right now, in which asset classes are you invested? Also some news on VRX...

Thanks a lot for all your replies. Hope you continue posting some macro ideas here. :)

Thank you very very much for all the info. A last question: Do you read any of the forecasts/outlooks that big banks/investment firms post like Blackrock, UBS, Morgan Stanley etc? They usually post for free some stuff for each year or even quarter. Is there any actual value in those reports?

Also what are the most important ''indicators'' on a macro approach? I remember you talking alot about NGDP. Which would you say are the most important ones to help you look into a country's economy?

Thanks for your detailed reply. Yes please share your bookmarks if possible either through PM or here. I suppose you are talking about the *all weather portfolio* right? So that approach plus a *george soros* approach of going in hard when you have great conviction of a macro trade. I had...

Hello Daal First of all, great thread. Really enjoyed reading it. I could though say that I was a bit disappointed when you switched from Macro to Day because I was really enjoying your insights and the general discussion on the subject. Now, at the beginning of the thread you said you were...