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Pairs trading? huh, it won't work and you will pay the price ... Theoretically, the logic behind pairs trading is good. It is like a quantum theory, where it posits that we can travel the time. Yes, it works in the movies.

The big question is what is noise here? Forget about the fundamental side. Prices of securities may find its fundamental values in the long run but it won't work in the short run. Ultimately, in the short run, what we thought of information is noise and what we thought of noise is information...

Agreed on the moving average part. But time frames do matter, for example, daily and that's where you can predict intraday trends. I used to monitor 1 minute chart but now I pay less attention to it. That said, I guess I hardly have a losing day. At one time, I had a winning-day run for 3 months...

test your hypothesis with millions or billions of transaction data. Make sure, you do some robustness check to ensure your results are not just a result of simple mechanism.

I think you get some right ideas here but that's still not enough to predict the intraday high and low. Keep it up

It is not matter of over-trading or under-trading. I get a feeling that you don't know what you are doing ....and you want to blame your emotional factors when your trades go wrong.

gambling, perhaps? especially if you don't estimate risk-return ratio in your trading decision. I prefer to trade pound. It moves a lot for a major exchange rate and its daily movement is very predictable.

Keep an eye on daily/weekly resistance/support. That's where you need to either stop the current fishing or begin new fishing. A lot of people lose money because they did not close their position at key areas. Easy and Simple.

No need react badly to other people's comments as you only have been talking about some abstract concepts and have not talked about your trading side at all. So we don't really know whether you are telling the truth or telling mere goals. At investing.com, some brokers keep telling newbies they...

You have a point. Perhaps, you can show your live trade to prove ? hehe. I am so used to showing live trades at investing.com. Well, No need to show your know-how cos I am not interested in other's holy grails as I already know how market makers drive prices. Just want to see how accurately you...

Perhaps, you can share the average winning days per month. I have recently gone a month without a single day loss. Hmmm, have I found a holy grail?? I think I been lucky. At investing.com, brokers have been consistently asking me to find out which time frame I use. I keep telling them I...

I don't think many traders here get what you are talking about. I would not rely on it when the market is closed.

It is already over if you are considering an entry. The abrupt move is already in progress. At 2pm, you wont see any sudden and abrupt move. Rather, price will become very stable,

At the moment, overall financial markets are bearish so selling premimum is greater. I thought we were going to see a change in the trend this month but perhaps, next month.

I think it was not the case I am afraid. You may have got the idea from some news articles as they tend to make up stories. However, most stocks, commodities and forex showed the strength on Friday if you check the chart. It was driven for liquidity premium. If there was uncertainty, then price...

I know about this strategy well...the idea is good. However, it's hard to make profit using this concept because of excess co-movement among stocks, commodities and forex. This strategy is built on a concept that prices follow a random walk (hence, as a result, prices reflect efficient prices...

If you trade on fundamentals, you will highly likely to see your account wiped out. Some people call it manuipulation while others say that stock markets follow a random walk. However, both are wrong. In fact, It is actually called liquidity Premium. Check other stocks in the same index, they...

Regarding supply, are you talking about the liquidity supply by speculators or are you talking about supply and demand? Regarding the higher high, I think you're talking about the systematic variation in market inefficiency across currencies and commodities caused by speculators. That was just...

Maybe I was not clear. My intraday and long term trading accuracy in currencies and commodities is 95% correct. Perhaps, you want more fundamental analysis. I can assure you that you will see your account wiped out if your trading decision is purely based on subjective fundamentals. Anyway...

You may consider buying it after the next week and hold it until next year around this time. You will be able to close it with a huge profit.