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Anecdotal evidence suggests we have too much unjustified optimism. But that is a fickle indicator - this could go on for weeks/months. Banks are still loaded with poor performing loans not adequately accounted for. Retail is having problems. Unemployment is still climbing. But the trend...

This rally provides hedge funds facing 1st quarter redemtions an opportunity to cash out of positions. It will be interesting to see what happens next week with futures and options expiration. I expect a lot of volatility and perhaps a move to the downside erasing this weeks gains.

As a paper trader you read about fear and greed and may understand it from an academic level. I went in thinking that trading was like an analytical exercise. I never truly understood the impact of emotions until I had real money on the line. It is easy to get overconfident. You can be...

From Reuters - March 4 (Reuters) - Concerns about the health of General Electric Co's (GE.N) huge finance arm have weighed on GE shares this week, driving down the stock to its lowest level since 1991. Analysts and investors have wrestled with the question of whether the finance arm --...

In 1929, with margin rates of 10% the market eventually dropped 90%. Retail brokerage accounts have 35% margin and pdt use 25% margin. If these market conditions were identical to 1929 I could see a 65% drop from the high in 2009 or 2010. The current conditions are different enough so I...

November options expiration is Friday and next week is Thanksgiving. This week will be the best chance to test and break the lows before we get a pathetic Christmas rally.

This market is not close to bargain levels yet.