Search results

  1. L

    predicting volatility

    i think i had your opinion on another threat-(and that of riskarb and other experienced traders too)-that's i want to discuss it more in debth.statistics is an interesting science!in average every american eats meat with pasta-but some have a lot of meat,other only pasta:)) if all the...
  2. L

    predicting volatility

    how many years of experience do you have? and what's between earnings?
  3. L

    predicting volatility

    no opinions on volatility?i expected a long and hot threat:)
  4. L

    predicting volatility

    does anybody have data/experience/opinion how acurate is IV?is the market often right predicting the following moves of stocks?is predicting vol.(reversing to the mean)easier than predicting stock direction as often stated?
  5. L

    stradles vs. strangles

    thank you riskarb!it seems you understood my question and gave me an exelent theoretical answer! with strangle vs. straddle comissions(i mean combined-comissions + spread) i mean that in the case of strangle often you don't have to buy back the one leg to close.
  6. L

    stradles vs. strangles

    it seems many don't understand that i'm not looking for a winning strategy.i'm was working good with market and stock predictions for over 8 years.i look to leverage a little my trading-thats why i try to learn the option strategies! so -i rewrite my 1 question again: assumung i think the...
  7. L

    Some intresting stats

    if the dispersion looks like a camelback the premium is unwarented only regarding indexes
  8. L

    Some intresting stats

    what's your point?earnings release is not important?
  9. L

    stradles vs. strangles

    it's simple-my time is not infinite-thats why i want to concentrate on knowing well strategies that work often.a handfull of stocks and handfull of srtategies is better than miriads of choises you don't understand well! reading mcmillan i had the impression that selling premium is not a good...
  10. L

    stradles vs. strangles

    thank's for the extensive answer!i agree with you on many things-but not all:) first i need to clarify my pozition,because it seems most here don't understand my intention. i'm relative new to options,but not to investing and how markets work.i'm not looking for a winning strategy(i agree...
  11. L

    stradles vs. strangles

    what's your opinion-is an iron condor better than a butterfly?it seems that the condors are preffered on this board
  12. L

    stradles vs. strangles

    is it a good idea to make the iron condors diagonal(buy the hedge long term) if you intend to trade this underlying for longer time?this should increase the profitability!
  13. L

    stradles vs. strangles

    that's my intention too-small profits often.but everything lower than 20-25% per year is not enough-i made 15% only with stocks the last 5 years! by how much have you beaten the market these 3 years?
  14. L

    stradles vs. strangles

    hi was reffering to his previous post-see p.2
  15. L

    stradles vs. strangles

    i just finished reading mcmillan for 2 time:)its mcmillans advice to use indexes for selling premium-because of lower risk.if i have understand him correctly IV on indexes is most of the time higher than the following actual volatility.so there should be profit-not much-if you ignore costs.but...
  16. L

    IVolatility Egar Service

    :) you are right,english is my 4 language-but i hope what i write is understandable:) but i readed that thread:)i don't understand the mathematics,but the idea conforms to the dispersion of stock prices described by mcmillan-overpriced index options and fat tails.and of course hedging:)do i...
  17. L

    stradles vs. strangles

    your strategy seems clever to me.what exactly do you mean with large cash reserve?how much?did you roll up(down)?
  18. L

    stradles vs. strangles

    i started my studying some monts ago(not counting some years amateur directional trading besides stock picking).your answer is close to my opinion,but in the books i read i didn't find a lot of anwers-so i aks them here:) so:IV on indexes is almost higher than actual.doesn't that mean that...
  19. L

    stradles vs. strangles

    of course i have to control the risk!i don't look for just one strategy-my intention is to choose them(starddles vs. strangles and risk managment) depending from the situation and underlying,but i have to know the odds generaly.unfortunately i lake long term experience:(
  20. L

    stradles vs. strangles

    i don't like to much follow up action-i hate paying comissions! but with strangles you have much bigger loss if things go wrong(because of smaller premium received).i'm not sure what's better(matematicaly)-ignoring psyhology.what's you experience?how long time you traded that way?
Back
Top