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good rtrad, way busy with the day job which is good... preparing for a nuclear winter in the markets....

Does this mean that a seller can deliver 95 ounces only? What happens to the +-difference of 5% at settlement/expiration? 113.01 Tenderable Gold In fulfillment of every contract of gold, the seller must deliver 100 troy ounces (5% more or less) of refined gold, assaying not less than...

RTRAD looks like your AUG/OCT Cattle spreads giving you some breathing room

nope, but today's sharp reversals are just proof that taking profits is good discipline, and being a pig trying to get the absolute last penny of a move is foolish. glad I took the money when I did on the cocoa call spreads. RTRAD , how is ur crude spread going?

http://www.theoptionsguide.com/strategy-index.aspx this is a good resource, should help

On the August Hog 74/70 1*2 put backspread 74 put settled at 415 pts 70 put settled at 180 pts From what I understand you are buying the 74 put and selling two 70 puts for a net debit of 55 pts right. You've given yourself a range of 73.45 - 66.55 to profit. I just don't like...

YT that Oct 64/70/76 p butterfly looks very interesting indeed. Assuming it can get done at 150pts we'd be breaking even at 65.5 and 74.5 - pretty big range. 3x1 reward/risk the big question is, how do we go ahead and execute it? my broker usually puts them in as two put spread orders...

definitely interested in looking at ratio ideas........

yt, how were you constructing your Aug Hog spread?

YT: The 12/14 ratio call spread is interesting if in fact 14 is the top in sugar. See, the difficulty for me in arbitrarily stating that 14 is the top. Sugar has lagged vis a vis other "energy commodities" and I wouldn't want to underestimate a speculative push that takes out prior...

Unable on my sell of Sep OJ 105 put at 100pts

YT , after reading some street comments on SFD, smithfield foods today, I focused on the herd of hogs and how some analysts were forecasting massive liquidation into the fall and that something similar to 1998 could happen where Hog prices went to 10 cents. I really can't think that this is...

Corn Acreage Planted: 87.327 mil vs. 86.014 previous (+1.313) Harvested: 78.940 mil vs. 78.8 previous (+.14) Stocks: 4.028 vs. 3.894 avg trade guess (+.134) Soybeans Acreage Planted: 74.533 vs. 75.257 previous (-.724) Harvested: 72.121 vs. 73.8 previous (-1.679) Stocks: 676 vs. 663 avg...

What do we think of this USDA corn number? RTRAD, some relief in your cattle spreads?

Probably too hot to buy, maybe sell some put spreads. Frozen concentrated orange juice futures rallied to seven-week highs Monday on speculative buying linked to strong technicals, the tripping of buy stops and on fundamental worries that California orange production may be encountering...

off topic: how much of a bond rally can we expect with global equities melting down? will we see massive flight to quality or will inflation concerns keep a lid on the rally. i was looking at Japanese JGB's and OTM calls

Exports of arabica beans fell 15 percent this month through yesterday compared with the first 25 days in May, Brazil's Coffee Exporters Council said. A growers' group said yesterday that no more than 8 percent of the country's crop was harvested through June 24, down from as much as 18...

I sense you might be overtrading RTRAD, you've said it yourself that it is something you need to watch. So, long Sep Crude, short October at around September 20 cents under October right? Is this based on your idea we'll see backwardation and the curve invert on short term supply worries...

the direction of the breakout was up . why fight it. shagi has traded it well. range expansion happened and resolved to the upside.

sidelined here. plus I'm tired, and trading tired never mix.