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I think it's been over a year since I last visited this board, and for some reason it notified me that there had been a response this morning. I defer to SA... You were absolutely correct about the dollar, albeit 4+ years after you made the initially made the prediction. I know the one in...

It probably has to do with the fact that the superior analytical skills that are required to do short term trading, translate well into longer term trading. If your "edge" is that you have a significant amount of "experience", or that you've worked on the floor, then chances are good that you...

What seems at least a little odd to me is his political party affiliations. If his claims about being a libertarian are true, then why would he run in a situation where the nominee from the libertarian party could take votes away from him by being arguably more loyal to the ideals that he...

Look at that. My prediction was completely accurate, while SouthAmerica's (very public) prediction of the dollar in a range of 1.50 - 1.60 was completely wrong for the second straight year. Do you have any interest in revising your prediction at this point? How about telling us all again how...

haha

In my opinion, it's still pretty impressive that this yield curve inversion has gone largely unnoticed amongst the financial media. This seems particularly true relative to the last inversion, which seemed to have significantly more doom and gloomers out in much larger numbers.

I don't want to segue too far into any sort of discussion involving scalability of systems, but how much do you anticipate the buyer to make over the course of a 10 year run of the system? Doubling every four months seems rather ambitious. What sort of return do you get with your main system...

Hint #1 - Don't post your email address/home address on public forums. Hint #2 - There is another thread for people who want to become traders. You should visit that thread.

I know JP Morgan was in the bidding for a good chunk of it... but it was the energy portfolio that caused people worry. This sounds like it was some fund with significant currency exposure? //didn't rtfa

They should rename themselves "Fade our news."

Pretty impressive story, but I don't think he's a trader of any sort. I beileve he's a broker.

I think this is really important because it may be the source of our misunderstanding. I don't really care whether I'm correct or incorrect. I'd just like a argument that is not farcically constructed. Comparing things like government expenditures is absolutely useless without taking into...

So despite the fact the number of elderly are going to grow at a significantly higher rate in Brazil then in the US, you think the costs associated with the elderly are going to grow at a faster rate in the US because traditionally Brazilians have taken care of their elderly with smaller...

I've read FBR, and it's definitely a beautifully written book... one of my favorites of all time. What I do find odd is that at one point in the book Taleb maligns dip buyers for being one trick ponies, but it certainly seems like a single, albeit slightly more complex, trick that he claims to...

You can also get quotes for Daily https://www.theice.com/marketdata/naNaturalGas/naIndex.jsp and prompt month gas https://www.theice.com/marketdata/naNaturalGas/monthIndex.jsp on ice. Occasionally, you can get a decent idea about how people with storage are looking to position themselves...

What percentage did Real Estate carry back in 2001? I would imagine that, in aggregate, it was always more then the stock market.

I sort of feel like there is a fair amount of public interest in Libertarian views too. I think it's also going to be interesting to see, if in these next elections, they can come up with persuasive and comprehensive answers to the types of personal liberty questions you brought up, and also if...

I wasn't talking about Libertarians, I was talking about the populous and illustrating the fact that libertarianism requires transparency (to some extent) to the populous.

I think the point is that, just like the economy, a group of well informed, rational beings making decisions that are optimal for them, leads to an optimal solution for society as a whole. I don't think this has anything to do with civil rights movements. It's the people who don't hire...

What sorts of freedoms do you find to have a binary nature like that? Would you say that the freedom to smoke in public is a restriction on the freedom of others to breath "clean" air? Would you say that the freedom to provide a cheap flight is a restriction on the freedom to recieve a safe...