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Not expecting one, just stating that I know there is always another black swan in the future. I mostly added that line to the original post to deter any posters from turning this thread into one about how "that strategy is worthless yada yada yada", that same old story.

Thanks for the information!

Hello, I'm thinking about selling insurance, even though this is a negative expectancy system w/ the black swan looming up above. Anyone have a quick list of instruments with high premium far out of the money (equities or commodities)? Thanks in advance.

The theory is simple. I have a similar strategy that can pick tops and bottoms effectively with a decent percentage. Just think like this: If you're long, don't exit until you'd want to short. If you're short, don't exit until you'd want to go long. Theory is simple. The execution...

don't predict... react!

shoulda woulda coulda.

Forgive my ignorance--thanks again to everyone who contributed to this thread. I have a question: We are taxed (futures traders) on our gross profits minus our gross losses--I think this is the jist of the 1099 form we get from our brokers? Now--if we are actually meant to make...

Thank you!

Hello, What's a good estimate of % so I can set that portion aside each month? Thanks.

Hey there, Anyone know where one might procure fundamental stock information in database form? How much might, say, the last 15 years worth of data cost?

you guys see the volume today?

thanks, i'll check it out.

Anyone know of software that can rapidly comb through thousands of stock charts with a click of a button? Speed is important. The ability to simply "view all NYSE" stocks in alphabetical order would be key as well.

i dont trade gaps anymore (they dont exist on 24 hour charts with volume/tick charts), but when i did, i was always cautious about shorting a gapup that remained aboved yesterday's range.

market conditions concerning rate cuts before and after have been pretty predictable lately.. why is everyone complaining? watch what happens and trade accordingly.

never remain in a gap up short position if price drifts above yesterday's high of day.

atticus, are you constantly on the hunt for these type of arb plays or did you stumble upon this one?

deviation. first and second standard deviation.

you're trading within a predefined market that oanda creates. i dont think this is new information.. you dont have a recourse here. all forex brokers are creating a "pseudo" disjointed market based loosely on the real interbank exchange. of course, correct me if i'm wrong (anyone that...

looking at the chart, it hasnt made a short-term higher higher, followed by a support to make a higher low. you can try to catch a falling knife, with a small stop, a low risk high reward play, but the probability of making a successful trade given this criteria is low. just my two cents.