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  1. T

    ES Journal - 2014

    3000 next. Lets do it
  2. T

    ES Journal - 2014

    Getting seriously oversold. Will start adding some to long-term long around these levels I think
  3. T

    ES Journal - 2014

    One little decline and the pessimism comes out of the woodworks...it never fails Who cares about planes and gaza, these markets are so detached from reality it hardly matters anymore. Medias always desparately trying to rationalise market behavior, creating correlations where there is none...
  4. T

    ES Journal - 2014

    Finally back in business. Hope we see that 2k soon.
  5. T

    ES Journal - 2014

    Hell yes:cool:
  6. T

    ES Journal - 2014

    Well I dont daytrade so no, I just like to hang out here. Nontheless my position is quite clear, permalong as long as the Fed is involved...
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    ES Journal - 2014

    Very much agree. That's something I'll never miss. Getting up at 5am, sitting in traffic all afternoon every fucking day of the year. I'd probably kill myself if I had to do that all my life. What a fucking waste of life. Thank God I discovered stock markets and the opportunities they bring.
  8. T

    ES Journal - 2014

    Market showing no signs of bullish behavior? Which market are you looking at? :p
  9. T

    Think or Swim - No Greeks for Two Weeks

    Thanks, I tried some other vol calculation mode called "Smile approximation" or whatever it was called and still had the same problem. Never tried the "Fixed volatility" thing, maybe that would fix it. Nontheless I have never used TOS seriously for anything, I lean on either the IB calcs or...
  10. T

    3K monthly income on a 100K account

    Generally selling OTM verticals is pretty crappy in my experience, much better to buy them IMO. I mean you basically sell an option with low IV and hedge with a higher IV option which will seriously eat into any profits you get. Much better to sell the high IV option and buy the low IV option...
  11. T

    ES Journal - 2014

    Nice move up. Still only at ~ 8% for the year, which is still way below the target of 12%. Would have to go to around SPY 206 by end of year. All figures approx. So still not too late to load up on the longs.
  12. T

    Think or Swim - No Greeks for Two Weeks

    I've experienced this numerous times with TOS before. I remember contacting their customer support back in christmas 2013 and they were absolutely clueless. By some miracle I managed to convince them that their numbers were in fact wrong, and they said they would "look into it", however I don't...
  13. T

    ES Journal - 2014

    :p Every now and then, I like to let out my inner zero hedger.
  14. T

    ES Journal - 2014

    Closer we get to 2000 the more 2000 will work as a magnet. Buying at like 1990 or so should be one of the most high probability trades to ever exist.
  15. T

    ES Journal - 2014

    Market will collapse to 1000 tomorrow...2008 will look like a piece of cake. You heard it here first
  16. T

    Open Interest and Option Availability

    You are better of observing the market depth than the open interest, IMO Single-strike OI doesn't really say much, because no MM operates on single strikes but on the entire chain. So a single strike could have low OI and low volume but still a very deep market. MMs hedge globally afaik.
  17. T

    correct approach to options functions and formulas

    Only problem is, smile can also change with time and underlying movement. The way smile looks now will be completely different if ES goes down 100pts... A sticky strike assumption seems to be best for ES etc. Paper is somewhere, god knows where...
  18. T

    ES Journal - 2014

    Not even tazed by these dips anymore...just another opportunity to go long on the cheap.
  19. T

    ES Journal - 2014

    NQ going crazy Screw shorting this market. Shorting...not even once.
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    3K monthly income on a 100K account

    Well yeah, many hedgefunds are super specialized. I wouldnt' expect a hedgefund trading FX to know anything about VIX futures for instance. You do have a point about incompetence in the financial industry in general, as 2008 painfully showed (morons who cant even correlate mean wages and...
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