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  1. S

    TBT down, SPY up ?

    Time to reverse the trade ? Fade the TBT and/or the SPY Trade: Long Puts on the TBT and/or the SPY Something to watch.
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    TBT down, SPY up ?

    Jobs number has stocks juiced, but Bond market doesn't like it ? Doesn't jive. Trade: Either long calls on the TBT, or puts on the SPY ? - or both (lol) Just some thing to watch.
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    BUD falling off a cliff - anti trust

    Justice filing antitrust lawsuit for Groupo Modelo purchase Options - Huge spreads and thin Tricky trade, not for me, but just a heads up.
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    Puts on the SPY

    Oh, not complaining. Just wish I was big enough to put a few 00's on those contracts See some of those trades that go by for 5000, 7500, - DAMN But, learned those usually mean it's going in the oppsite direction (put/call sellers)
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    Puts on the SPY

    You're right should have included vol. Just a small trade, 100 contracts. But it pays a few bills. AMZN puts would have been better, Feb 1 275's 1.40 to $6 right now Got to fixed on the SPY's - my bad.
  6. S

    Puts on the SPY

    Out @ .77 Time to go $100's at strippers (lol)
  7. S

    Puts on the SPY

    Moved up the chain a little Put on 150.50's @ .57
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    Puts on the SPY

    Hey ya'll, first post here in the options forum Will be Lookin' to put on a trade for Feb. 1, 150 SPY puts @ .45 (ish) Do not have it on yet, but that GDP number should (should) take us down a peg or two Unlike the NFLX trades, I'll be posting trades BEFORE hand (LOL) (That thread was...
  9. S

    Amazon - anyone trading it for earnings tonight

    Got a forward (forward) p/e of 155 Net margins .28% Paying more sales taxes Can't think other retailers/cloud computerers are going to contine to let them have the online market I know, I know, they're still building out and going to dominate the world, yada, yada, yada. Like...
  10. S

    Oil $20 longer term ?

    Thanks for the link. Haven't read it - yet. As far as the inflationary aspect of things, agree oil would track inflation, all other things being equal. Which is where my premise comes in, all other things are not equal. Supply in rising, and other forms of energy are evolving. Esp. cleaner...
  11. S

    Oil $20 longer term ?

    No. Not shorting it now. World is too juiced on Monetary Easing. Euro is the bell of the ball. (dollar down) Just something that seems LONGER TERM can't not happen.
  12. S

    Oil $20 longer term ?

    Couple more things to add to the minus side :) Middle East Starting to free up politicaly - granted in the short term it's a cluster you know what, but more oil should flow from Lybia, Iraq, Egypt, etc. USA military Uses 500,000 barrels per day (look it up) coming budget cuts...
  13. S

    Oil $20 longer term ?

    No worries. I didn't say today, but longer term.
  14. S

    Oil $20 longer term ?

    Thats what makes a market brother. And I wouldn't go long alternatives either, was just a response to a question as to how to play it. My easiest trade was puts on the USO But again - not some thing you just run out an put on. But something to keep on the screen.
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    Oil $20 longer term ?

    Nothing stays anywhere permanent. And markets ebb and flow and if someone drops a nuke in the straits of Hermous (sp?) all bets are off but With all the forementioned dymanics in play, Oil can't not trend down long term. And yes, as the price drops, more oil will be used, so...
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    Oil $20 longer term ?

    And ... you know what they say about opinions, they're just like something everyone else has. :0
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    Oil $20 longer term ?

    Country Bumpkin ? Nah. Redneck !! (lol) Wasn't too, too long ago it was below $20.
  18. S

    Oil $20 longer term ?

    Either on the short side in oil directly (USO) Or short oil/oil service stocks Or on the long side with alternatives, i.e solar, etc. or beneficiers, i.e. airlines. Couple ideas, but easiest prob. puts on the USO. Timing is the issue, just something to keep on the sceen to...
  19. S

    End of payroll tax holiday equal to $1 increase in gal. of gas

    Was prob. the easiest way I've heard, to equate the end of the payroll tax holiday. Following the logic forward, a $20, $30, $40 weekly decrease in take home pay will not "destroy the fabic of Life" for people, but there will obviously have to be changes made. With that said, the...
  20. S

    Oil $20 longer term ?

    Before you think I'm crazy, hear me out :) Admitting it's a controlled market (which one isn't) Do the old Ben Franklin T (plus on one side minus on the other) Minus 1. USA just discovered the "Saudi Arabia" of oil (shale) (Nat Gas fell to $2 from recent dicoveries) Other...
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