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Each successful trader is a unique, pretty snowflake...

We're all parasites in the markets...

Forex is not a bad market. But in my opinion it is the hardest market to trade successfully. And I've traded stocks, commodities, bonds, crypto as well as FX over 25 years.

Tesla has broken up through resistance - I find it likely it will set new ATHs frequently going forward.

Most importantly: Buy the dip. The Federal Reserve and the powers that be always saves the market because the alternative is 401k accounts blown to pieces with no pensions for anyone. Too big to fail is real. Learn about moral hazard and accept that there is no morale in the markets. Markets...

Spread trades... without stop loss, and concentrating capital into one correlated strategy/trade. The examples did not adhere to proper risk management.

So, I wonder then who's left in Jun 20 after everyone has rolled into Jul 20. Volume might drop off sooner than before.

USO changed its profile to further out in the curve, and I interpret the messages from Asian products that they are either pulling out or doing the same thing. This should reduce some of the rollover effects WTI has seen for fifteen years. Question is: How will this affect the contango going...

How long until those are the last price traded and not daily change... EDIT: Well, change up the contract month by a month.

LOL - there will be a million people looking to buy oil "cheap" at 10 usd. Maybe @Baron can place a banner educating people who has not traded oil before about contango, storage and the lack of free lunches.

No dislikes with the optimal f approach, it's mathematically correct :) It is however applicable for systematic trading where you are able to calculate the inputs, and my trading has been on and off over the years and partly discretionary or through allocation so it's not been possible/relevant.

Yes - non-correlated strategies with their own allocation with periodic rebalancing makes a lot of sense. It's been so long since I read it (and I don't practise it now), but I seem to recall there was also a portfolio-level approach. Was that in his second book?

I looked into this about 10-12 years ago. To calculate Optimal f you need past trading history. If you have a system then you can also use historic trades, although I would certainly add a cushion as your biggest loss is always in the future. Lastly, I would personally trade more conservatively...

Please read this post published at Seeking Alpha from a few days ago regarding USO and the supercontango for WTI-contracts. This could save you some money. https://seekingalpha.com/article/4337417-uso-strongly-decline-due-to-roll-yield The Dec 20 WTI contract settled at 33.82 on Friday. If you...

2008/9 was also super-contango, but prices were higher. I think 3-4 months out was in mid-fifties with the front month dropping to mid-40s at expiration for a while. In percentage the spread is higher, must also be greater vs margin requirement.

I wanted to start a discussion about the Eurodollar curve 1 year out, as I find it rather strange. I only trade them occasionally when I feel like putting on a position, and the last few days I've entered a fly where I'm short U0, long Z0 and short H1 with a 3-6 month horizon. If the curve...

I did not use it for a learning project with real data, I used it maybe 3 years ago to learn more about data mining/science and as an alternative to python/sklearn which I had previous experience with. I only did tutorials with supplied data, and the goal was to try the platform.

I used RM about 1-2 years ago. Don't remember the pricing, but I seem to remember it was a bit expensive. It is however VERY user friendly, at least in my opinion. Working with it, it is of course great for learning more about your data, but as has been mentioned: Beware of curve-fitting. Good luck!

Oh, I totally agree that the chart is my nearest, dearest friend - along with relative analysis within sector, peers etc. and of course the general market. But, with maybe 500-800 stocks to follow where most of the news are in unknown languages it is very easy to miss important bits of...

I've lately focused on EU stocks, mainly from France, Belgium, Netherlands, Spain, UK, Switzerland, Germany and Nordics. What I really miss is finding some discussions on the stocks I trade - typically between 500m to 10 bn market cap. I wouldn't even care if it were in French or German, as I'd...