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Like I said, you don't play poker. The article describes the math of ONE HAND you are playing. After that hand the cards are shuffled and new hands are dealt. I hope you do your homework better in your trading...

Okay, you don't play poker... ;-) Each hand you play is independent of the previous hand you've played.

Ever played poker? Then you know what a good (or bad) run is... ;-) Why wasn't he able to repeat that performance a third and fourth time if it wasn't luck? He had (or has... I don't know) a method that worked perfectly during that 18 months period (you can even say he had a massive edge for...

I agree with every word you say. Dan Zanger gave it back. And now he is selling a newsletter. Not what I would consider a super trader. That's what I meant with my comment earlier regarding edge & luck.

You don't think he got lucky during that 18 months?

I'm talking about edge, not about luck.

No link to actual REAL MONEY trading account, only "trade alerts" by the "mavens". Trading success is more than just sending alerts. Marketfy is certainly better than no verification of alert track record at all, when comparing with alert services who don't provide any track record verification...

Extensive social media presence with 26.6k tweets and 18k followers on Twitter (as of just now) looks like a "guru" to me. And the fact that he presents his performance figures in an opaque way rings alarm bells. Why isn't he on a platform like fundseeder, where the account data is downloaded...

Only noobs think a super trader can turn 10k or 50k into millions in a short period of time (some think, even with less... lol). If you can generate 50% return p.a. with little volatility you are for sure among the top 1%. However, even with 100k or 200k in capital it doesn't get you very far...

You didn't really provide much information about your trading style and process. I assume you trade discretionary. However, successful discretionary traders have processes (rules), too. Do you follow the same process like you had during your winning times? Or did you have a process in the first...

You are one awesome character! Making statements that no one on this forum can verify... chapeau!

Someone wearing "giant pinky rings and alligator shoes" is not a con man but an idiot. You think Bernie Madoff wore giant pinky rings and alligator shoes? Seriously, you guys watch to many movies. How many of you have really spotted a con man? I mean someone who later was PROVEN to be a con...

How to spot a con man? He uses deliberate distraction, for example by starting a thread with the topic "How To Spot A Con Man?", thereby implying they are not one.

The reasons why people buy "at a top" (there were already multiple comments on hindsight bias) are as diverse as there are market participants. Some smart traders buy at the top because they've made a killing taking long trades over an extended period of time (and other, not so smart traders...

Yes, that was quite a feat! Congrats on that! Most people during the dotcom bubble were too greedy to quit…

Sure, for instance with the help of uncle Ben ;) Sounds like one of these stories from during the dotcom bubble...

How many trades led to that performance in less than a year?

… not to forget the size of that trade… talk about risk management ;)

Sure :)

… funny thing is - since there is this religious discussion on ET in the other thread about TA - he explains in person that he used TA… :)