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Hi greaterreturn, I think you never know if you are on the right side of the market, but you can measure if "the coin" is biased and play the probability game. ZB

Still no answer; how do I know I am on the right side of the market? Only looking for the rules of begin the trend and end of it. ZB

Hmm.. Nice trends here too, how do I know I am on the right side of the market? http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/attachment.php?s=&postid=1694783

How do you define a trend? Sma up/down, linreg slope up/down or some distribution mean drifting up/down? Or do we only see something that does not really exists, only different shapes of random? ZB

Interesting, how do you know you are on the right side? ZB

Hmm... What is bullshit? Need to know to avoid it... ZB

It is little bit like market making (if you know noise > drift), you can always make some $$$ ZB

Now it is only question of the outliers or should I say question of controlling the exposure, right? ZB