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  1. J

    Saddam Captured - How will mkt react monday?

    I think the saddam news will add to the spirit of revival that moved the DOW above 10k a couple of days ago. So I predict some serious berserking extending well into the week. Can't be more specific, berserking, by definition is unpredictable :-)
  2. J

    Why is mr. market allowed to continuously post crap in the "trading" section

    :) Those newbies, poor bastards, they will never know
  3. J

    Why is mr. market allowed to continuously post crap in the "trading" section

    In case you didn't notice, you are in the wrong forum. What I like about your post is that while it is crap no different than the one you complain about, it is supposed to make others think that you are not like that at all.
  4. J

    Arcsinus law: distinguishing trend from persistency of chance

    Distinguishing trend from persistency of chance Isn't trend something that a statistician would call the persistency of chance? And in any case, why do we need to distinguish between them anyway?
  5. J

    TA - Self-fulfilling prophesy?

    My 2c Since it's origins, T/A, like any popular concept, has changed (evolved if you like). The major elements in it's change are - increased choice of methods and analytical approaches - increased importance of feedback loops - TA affecting the price which in turn is affecting TA which...
  6. J

    Why is mr. market allowed to continuously post crap in the "trading" section

    Although I heard that KGB could...
  7. J

    Why is mr. market allowed to continuously post crap in the "trading" section

    It always a wonder why do some people need other's to leave forums. Skipping through the crap like preserving quality of posts and all other kinds of glorified reasons, just and righteous, which are simply imageworks, what's left? Are you saying that if X leaves you will have quality...
  8. J

    What is a good percentage annual return for a day trader?

    Mr Market I heard about you long before I read your first post. Regardless of what you may say in your other posts, here, you ask a simple question and I thoroughly enjoyed the responses so far. It's amazing how very vague all the experts become when such question has been asked. It's a...
  9. J

    Stock movement, standard deviation and psychology

    jb It seems to me there is two themes in your post. First one, how price stays inside 2 or 3 SD most of the time is nothing to marvel about. It's like we were surpirsed the moving average rises when the price rised - of course it will because new higher price is part of the formula. Same...
  10. J

    Stock movement, standard deviation and psychology

    Or, that measure could be your plain-vanilla price chart
  11. J

    Stock movement, standard deviation and psychology

    There is nothing psychological or remarkable about it. If you calculated SD for some initial period, say 100 days and for the next 100 days referred the prices to it, you'd find much more irregularities, that is instances where price is outside 1SD. In a way, the mean is like a moving...
  12. J

    How many does daytraders make in nowadays markets?

    Maniac... Hmmm... If you could play his trading experiences, step by step, wouldn't you do it? And in any case isn't it what we all do only on a much smaller scale, so if he is a maniac...?
  13. J

    what's the significance of high volume reversal?

    The significance is pretty much illustrated in the second chart you posted - dst. Sellers lost a battle and it was a huge one - buyers will be in control for a while.
  14. J

    Overtrading

    It's not easy to give up large part of a profit when everything tells you to run. I normally prepare overnight from EOD data and note support/resistance and prospective entry and and exits (stops and targets). After entering a trade I always put exit order at the price I worked out the day...
  15. J

    T-REX Journal

    I noticed you tried to follow the system and left the thread when you couldn't. It's like a stop loss, no point holding onto trade if it goes against you, no point posting in a thread if it's not going where you want. (and I mean learning not ego boost). Defending TRex was more like a side...
  16. J

    T-REX Journal

    Hey, TRex Had a look at the 2BC rules but I couldn't use MA40 very well. Maybe it's because ASX is different, with the exception of a few large stocks you can't get a decent intraday trend. I use 2min and 5min charts with MA20 to see roughly where the stock is going, but enter and exit based...
  17. J

    T-REX Journal

    TRex, sorry for this reply to be off topic, but since Bruto doesn't have his own journal I thought I'd start him off here with a few entries 01/11/03 - Life is really boring when you know everything 02/11/03 - Bought myself a new mirror, attached to keyboard, lookin' good. 02/11/03 -...
  18. J

    We want the $$ to fall and bond yields to rise, DOW 15000!!!

    If you see a shooter standing 1 m away from the target and you make a prediction that he will hit the bullseye with all his shots, you can be fairly certain about this prediction of the future events. If you say that he will hit the bullseye at least once while he is 10m away from the target...
  19. J

    T-REX Journal

    TRex, the instructions to follow the signals are clear enough but I was interested in the method - have you disclosed the method anywhere or is it your trade secret?
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