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allow me to guess again...

On schedule so far. Lets not forget the ugly monthly chart. I don't think SPY can retrace 50% to 110, guess it will stop around 104.

One more guess...

Small caps doesn't look bullish anymore.

Swing is a daytrade that went bad :}, going home short if not stop out. Also shorted nq at 1615 stop 1620 (http://www.eminichartsetc.com/)

Short 987.50 stop 991.25 http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_uyrGNw94-qw/SnMFAuRCMSI/AAAAAAAAAzc/LOwMsz74WY0/s400/es125.png

I think so too.

Maybe this will help -- If current swing high(low) exceed last swing high(low), buy(sell) the first pullback.

higher timeframe, maybe?

This is a good setup to trade with. It can often be seen in different markets, in all timeframes. Here is the current crude daily chart, there is an "Anti" short in the first trading day of July, and a "First Cross" short is now setting up. One way to weed out the bad trade is to pay...

Tha gap needs to be watched closely, imho. Short term upside is 950 if gap holds, downside is still at 820-830.

short 918.75 stop 928.75, please allow me to borrow this chart, Chuck Krug

Hmm...

I second that. And I do hope he's done flipping and stay in this now because he is such a good bear! http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_uyrGNw94-qw/SkzS0_nOk3I/AAAAAAAAAwU/-F89ABDeLHE/s1600/ES%2BDaily%2BChart.png

problem is YM picture ugly.

Any update on this, Sal?

this is going to be very good discussion. Nice trade Sal. I don't see reversal, but a recent swing low is always good spot to me to get out and see. If trend continues it will make new low, then re-short on the test of this level, if trend reverses you have fished the low. The risk is the...

both nya and spx bp index do support a down move.

Traders are funny people. You can be bearish but go long right at market open. You can be wrong but make money. You lose your opinions, not your money. etc, etc...

... or a modified version.