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Well done Shop ! wish i'd seen your post a little earlier, got washed out by former run down ! great contributions from you, thumbs up ! Big thanks to mfbreakout for opening this thread. I have some difficulties to make the ACD method valid for me, but thriving ! keep going, you both...

thanks for your reply. Actually I would actually be too. This is only an attempt to suggest a possible and plausible evolution, given the past prices. I will be interested to follow the deviations in price and time to this model.

Hello I would like to share with you a personal exercise I have been lately performing, concerning possible evolution of WTI price. This exercise is mainly for my own benefit, because in doing so I can be sure I will not be tempted to re- draw, or make new asumptions about the possible...