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Funny enough, the huge open interest in both puts and calls on October SPX is 1100 for this coming friday. I think Nitro your FV model might be right this time

For educational purposes I would love to know why does everyone talking about bonds diving? What is the correlation with chinese decision (let's assume it's not bluff) Thanks

If chinese currency would appreciate against dollar then: 1) the cost of chinese labor would increase in dollars 2) Profits of Apple and alike (think the whole consumer sector) would fall 3) Market would fall Correct me please as I'm not that sure anyway....

i doubt that stimulus might seriously affect dollar in this deflationary environment. Bottom line: next time the bird shows up - shoot it

I'm not familiar with cases of FOREX being halted. That said, if EURO would collapse more than 5-10% stock market is likely to follow and that would trigger halt on the NYSE. BTW 1.15 is doable in 1 week from now IMNSHO

hi there. Yuri from Toronto is delighted to be on board :)

Cool I would like to add that short positions are highly recommended when VIX finally fills the gap at 16.4

Well, there are couple of things which make me nervous to short here: 1) OEX P/C ratio 2) Unfilled gap on the VIX down at ~16.4 Both make me think of very positive report. Although this spike up might be the last one for a while.

I would also add that emerging markets didn't join that party either. I January 2010 it was also the case

Saliva has requested to report results on shorting sugar from friday - so I feel I must do it. I woke up at 4 am eastern to see the market open. The moment thrust higher failed I shorted. In green so far and NOT giving up on my position anytime soon, unless we penetrate those highs or...

I'm a new guy to sugar market, but when I applied some TA to the chart on friday, I saw nearly classical topping "rising megaphone" pattern which in my books has a high probability of turning into collapse. Disclosure. I missed a downturn in S&P so I now looking to participate in the Sugar...

I do agree that tomorrow is a rally day. My reasons: $BDI - positive $VXV:$VIX - positive Huge supporting volume around friday lows Ton of positive divergencies on RSI, MACD etc !!!!!!!!BUT!!!!!!!!!! If market will decide to plunge (unlikely but still) this is going to be hell of...

Sell 'em http://screencast.com/t/a9YmsRAR

And here goes #2

Remember. Fighting deflation is a lost war in such overleveraged overborrowed world. A warning for all gold-bugs out there from one very talented russian caricaturist Part one is in this post Part two is in the next one

This is the reason I'm bearish on gold at the moment http://screencast.com/t/MDogdnH0ts Let's see 750 first

Totally agree it is about time to start scaling into it. I wouldn't be surprised if oil would go even higher from here (say 75-77) But it doesn't change a thing. The main thing I would be surprised to see is oil holding above 50 until October...

Bought TZA at 21.40 Holding overnight. Expect a flat day tomorrow with a big sell-off on friday or a brief sell-of tomorrow

My best advice would be the following 1) Think twice before starting - this game is brutal indeed 2) Start with demo account and DO NOT trade real money for at least 1 year or until you would be consistently profitable in paper trading 3) Forget about doing it part-time. It's a full time...

Dollar index can easily reach 100 mark this year. But the reason for this is NOT US recovery. The reason is the second wave of deleveraging and deflation.