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  1. M

    UNG set to drop? Effects of rollover?

    I'm holding SEP Natural Gas Futures contracts. I know that UNG is currently in the process of selling SEP and buying OCT (just found this out). Does this mean it is wise to sell contract ahead of UNG's rollover since all that selling will depress the price or does the price typically rebound...
  2. M

    Finding funds with certain stocks

    Can someone recommend a tool (hopefully free) that I can enter a stock symbol and it will generate a list of Mutual Funds and ETF's that are currently holding that stock? I think I've seen this before but can't remember where I found it.
  3. M

    Speculating Beyond Current Month?

    So all other thing being equal, I end up paying for the contango whether I buy a front month and keep rolling it, or whether I sit on a farther out month that I don't have to roll as often? Seems like it mainly boils down to doing some analysis and coming up with your own price forecast for...
  4. M

    Speculating Beyond Current Month?

    I can tell you VERY full without going there. :)
  5. M

    Speculating Beyond Current Month?

    I'm new to commodities trading (as will be apparent by this newbie question.) I understand that the higher prices in the contracts farther out account for the contango, or cost of storage. Do these prices also include an expectation for seasonal price increases, such as due to the winter...
  6. M

    Quick Option Trading Question

    What's a good risk/reward on say an option expiring 6 months out. (That recommendation for that free software turned out to be $3000 software). I was looking at some put options and calculating the return assuming a target stock price at expiration. I looked at 5 strike prices and the...
  7. M

    Quick Option Trading Question

    I look at options as more of an insurance policy than as a big money maker. You can't buy health insurance when you have a pre-existing condition (at least not yet.) But yes, I was thinking of just monitoring the CDC information over the next weeks to see if there was a pattern of an...
  8. M

    Quick Option Trading Question

    Let me give a little insight. The trade I am looking at is a hedge against the Swine Flu becoming a major disaster like the Spanish Flu of 1918. One might argue if there is that big of a disaster, the markets will tumble but a study done by Fidelity for all the major flu outbreaks since the...
  9. M

    Quick Option Trading Question

    Okay, I get it now. The intrinsic value of the option will be $30,000 at expiration so I still get the same profit. The only benefit of exercising it is that I could then hold the stock for over a year and pay long term capital gains instead of short term. What I don't understand though is...
  10. M

    Quick Option Trading Question

    Is there some low-cost software out there that you can enter (or better yet it will automatically read) all the parameters for an option for a number of different strike prices and months and you enter what you think the stock price will be at expiration and it will show you what the option...
  11. M

    Quick Option Trading Question

    But if the stock is at 90 and the strike price is at 60, say 5 days before expiration, wouldn't there be more profit to be made my exercising the option? My understanding is since the delta is less than 1, the option won't be worth $30,000 which is what you would make it you exercised the...
  12. M

    Quick Option Trading Question

    I'm studying up on options. I have yet to run across a definitive answer to this question. Let's say you buy 10 call options that look like this: Strike Price: $60 Premium: 1.55 (total price is $1,550) Delta: .28 Theta: -.01 Implied Volatility: 25% Let's say the stock is trading at...
  13. M

    Need Broker Recommendation

    Requirements: 1) No more than $1000 minimum deposit (preferably $500 as I'm just starting out and want to test the waters before risking significant sums). 2) Trading platform has server-based Trailing Stops, so I don't have to have the platform client software running for a Trailing Stop...
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