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    Pair Trading Strategy Journal

    Is there a list of bug fixes/changes for 3.03?
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    Pair Trading Strategy Journal

    I am only running windows xp but I am doing this on a Mac using parallels.
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    Pair Trading Strategy Journal

    My PTF 3.01 is running fine. If anything, slightly faster than 2.99. I have been running lots of backtests of multiple stock groups. No issues other than I got a memory exception when I tried to backtest 5 stock groups at once. So I now just backtest 3-4 max at the same time.
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    Pair Trading Strategy Journal

    Basically I am just replacing correlation with cointegration in my process. I am using high correlation (.95+) as my first criteria. But then I am still apply all the other criteria like you mention in your post: - a good ratio chart - looking at news/earnings for stocks - etc. I am just...
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    Pair Trading Strategy Journal

    I have done some quick comparisons between high correlation and high cointegration with PTF 3.01 and I am seeing much better results with cointegration. Using the same groups of stocks/ETFs with a correlation of 80% or greater the average P/L for the group is about 1.5%. For high cointegration...
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    Pair Trading Strategy Journal

    This looks very similar to pairtrade finder
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    Pair Trading Strategy Journal

    Yes. According to PTF, cointegration doubles the average profit per pair trade. I have started backtesting with the new version and I do see that many of my best actual pairs trades have higher cointegration value vs my losing pairs. This is just a quick reaction and I have more analysis to...
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    Pair Trading Strategy Journal

    For those of you interested in Pairtradefinder. The newest version (3) was released today and has added co-integration. This should produce better results vs the prior version which was based on correlation.
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    Pair Trading Strategy Journal

    coreed thanks for sharing. It looks like you are doing very well. One question, what happened to the 3/11 FFIN/FHN trade? I don't see that on your spreadsheet.
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    Pair Trading Strategy Journal

    coreed I am not sure if you are understanding what I am doing. I am sticking to the system and trying to make this as mechanical as possible and maximizing the profit potential of each pair. This is just a nuance of the P&L math of the ratio over time. If you look at the slope of the MA line in...
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    Pair Trading Strategy Journal

    Well this trade just got the exit signal anyway. I have had too many good trades reverse the next day after almost exiting with a profit. So I added this trading rule to look ahead one day. Occasionally I give up a bit on the upside but in my experience I have preserved more profit this way and...
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    Pair Trading Strategy Journal

    Just closed CY/FCS for a nice gain. Thanks to coreed for the trade idea. I closed before I got the signal and it might get an exit signal today anyway. But a bird in the hand..... I will exit early if it looks like the ratio has hit tomorrow's mean range. See the chart below. I used...
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    Pair Trading Strategy Journal

    Entered new pair: Long SWN Short UPL This has been one of my better pairs. Hope it stays that way.
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    Pair Trading Strategy Journal

    salco, how have you setup tos to trigger signals? I also use tos and would like to know how to do this. Thanks.
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    Pair Trading Strategy Journal

    No
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    Pair Trading Strategy Journal

    Bigsalid and jones: I am calculating individual trade return then an average of all wins (losses). So if I am investing 10,000 for each pair then my trade return (p&l) is trade return/loss divided by 20,000. I am using the pair trade finder software and sticking pretty much to it's...
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    Pair Trading Strategy Journal

    144 trades since 8/2009. Win rate 72.2% Ave win 1.45% Ave loss 2.18% There is some learning curve in these numbers and lately ave win/loss have been the same. I had a couple of larger losses that I let run too long. Now I am better about cutting losses. Have also gotten a bit better at...
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    Pair Trading Strategy Journal

    Briefing.com has upgrades/downgrades and I signed up for their email updates. Their morning update includes this list. I also check the news on each one of my pairs before the market opens. This quickly gives me any up/downgrades but also any other news that could impact the position. I use...
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    Pair Trading Strategy Journal

    You are correct, the dividends do tend to even out over time. At first I didn't pay attention to them but now I check them (in particular short side) along with earnings release dates before placing trade. If it is a small div then I might just go ahead but the larger divs obviously create a...
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    Pair Trading Strategy Journal

    Meant to say this 1-2 day trade.....close out before you have to pay dividend.....
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