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Besides LONG naked put options way out during high ^vix, there's something here long strangle/straddle during events with normal ^vix.

When ^VIX is decade high (2008, 2020 etc), buy naked put options 30% out on just anything.

Yahoo Finance’s Brian Sozzi and Alexis Christoforous break down the market action for Moderna, after the company announced it received FDA clearance for its coronavirus vaccine for phase 2 trial. https://finance.yahoo.com/news/coronavirus-covid-19-vaccines-industry-142600328.html

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/coronavirus-stock-market-rally-triggers-major-sp-500-sell-signal-the-dreaded-death-cross-193931860.html

The degree to which consumers not able to make ends accelerated since the 60's, that's also when world population started to explode according to this "World Population Growth" article: https://ourworldindata.org/world-population-growth. Although population growth was worst in Asia, but it's...

It's been a while. Takes so long for an engineer to actually do it to come up with common sense conclusions. Be it linear regression or A.I. or other type of statistics based pattern-matching/classification methods, the tool is only as good as the data. If the data has predictive value to future...

Not when they slap you with a whole bunch of trades that you did not even make. The account was negative but it shows that you make a ton of day trades. It was not even possible to open position with no equity. It was a crime, a fraud, by TD Ameritrade. I even had a print out of my positions...

When my account from ThinkOrSwim was transferred to TD Ameritrade, there were all sorts of mistakes including trades that were not even made by me. It was a mess. And TD Ameritrade never updated my account to the correct balance. Feels like robbery. Should I hire a lawyer or go to small claims...

Journal closed due to investor concerns.

Today's Date: 4/18/2011. Trade #1: Bought 6/18/2011 MHP 38 Call @ $1.82. Trade #2: Bought 6/18/2011 FLIR 33 Put @ $1.80. Since 4/13/11: 0 Completed Trades Total. Return: N/A. Sharpe Ratio: N/A.

Today's Date: 4/13/2011. Trade #1: Bought 5/21/2011 REMX 27 Call @ $1.60. Trade #2: Bought 5/21/2011 CSM 61 Put @ $1.50. Since 4/13/11: 0 Completed Trades Total. Return: N/A. Sharpe Ratio: N/A.

Yes, I do live in the US, domestic wire. It seems that BofA sent the wire without TOS' bank account number. Never seen that before. Thanks and I'll check out your recommendation.

ThinkOrSwim and IB offer lower options commissions rates. But IB offers no service and TOS gave me a problem with funding the account that I have never even heard of before: I sent a wire through Bank Of America and after 2 weeks I had to recall the wire because it never got there. Maybe it's...

Check out the lastest study I have found on this topic from http://www.utilitarian-essays.com/expected-option-returns.html Basically, the latest study with actual call options on stocks (not just one or two broadbased indices) show that At The Money options held for a longer term offer the...

Maestro, thanks for the insight. But I am still uncomfortable with the assumption of Spline analysis that *all* possible information influencing the short term future movements of the S&P 500 is embedded in its own historical prices. There has to be many social/economic factors in play even for...

Thanks Maestro, I found something similar, a trading simulation of the Soybean and Crush Spread: http://www.ljmu.ac.uk/BLW/BLW_Facultytopleveldocs/Soybean_Crush_Spread.pdf . Basically they tested several neural network algorithms for predicting the spread value. According to the paper, Higher...

Of course, I am using it to determining the trend, nothing will predict the exact value, no questioning of that. But LR cannot even predict the trend significantly over 50%. The best I have so far, after pretty much frying up my machine, was a 2 week (10 trading days) trend prediction of the S&P...

For those of you who went through the exercise of using historical data and linear regression analysis to predict the future prices of trading instruments, have you ran into situations where the best beta coefficients that generates the best curve fitting *does not* really predict the future? In...

By Schweser Study Program, many of the study material still apply! $50.00 for the entire set. First come first serve. Thanks.

Where can I find historical price-to-book-ratio for NYSE stocks? Thanks.