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    I am trying to find something bearish about the VIX

    If someone showed me the VIX chart but did not tell me the symbol I would say it looks like one of the most bullish chart patterns I have seen in a while... VIX tried three separate times to fill the large opening gap of February 2020 but failed. And now it is trading up in a bull flag and a...
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    How much will the stock market fall if Biden wins?

    predict it says Biden gets 293 Electoral for the win https://www.predictit.org/
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    How much will the stock market fall if Biden wins?

    In the year 2019 the Argentina Merval Index (IAR) sold off 40% in one single day after the conservative party did NOT gain the majority. A HUGE red candle that closed on the lows, 40% down. Similar drop in SPX would put it at about 2000 and fill all those huge gaps from March lows.
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    VIX is moving

    The bullish factors for VIX currently are; * bullish daily , weekly , monthly quarterly and yearly MACD * bullish daily, weekly, monthly , quarterly and yearly RSI ( RSI above 50 midpoint line) * the MEGA GAP at 21 has been tested and held. It has not filled and has held gap support. *...
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    Pristine's Advanced Gap Strategies Course

    hi Blaze I am interested too, let me know please PM me
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    does it EVER make sense to buy and hold a 3X bull ETF ?

    But if you know silver is going to go to a certain future price, why would you not want to maximize your return for the time and risk you are taking ?
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    does it EVER make sense to buy and hold a 3X bull ETF ?

    [QU OTE="clacy, post: 4288240, member: 58732"]the leveraged ETF can be amazing, and the decay is way overblown in the media. Yes it probably is overblown. But of course they have to push those disclaimers very hard for liability reasons. And it is definitely true that timing is absolutely...
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    calculating maximum profit potential of a long term option trade

    Predicting a particular stocks price in 2 years is pretty close to impossible. I am not looking to predict any individual stock price. I think I have a much better shot at predicting a macro ETF such as gold or silver. All one needs to do is find a large pattern and then trade off of it. For...
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    does it EVER make sense to buy and hold a 3X bull ETF ?

    so you are saying if someone bought 100 shares at the 2009 low and sold at the 2015 high they would not have realized a 1769% return as seen on the price chart ? there was one 2 for 1 split in 2013
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    does it EVER make sense to buy and hold a 3X bull ETF ?

    Well to calculate the returns of TNA since 2009 price low I simply looked at the long term monthly price chart. The 2009 low was 5.11 The 2015 June high was 99. So just do a percent return calculation of those two numbers and then annualized them over 6 years. I guess the problem is, in...
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    does it EVER make sense to buy and hold a 3X bull ETF ?

    I am thinking of a long term strategy of taking advantage of the new silver bull market that just started a few months ago. I project this next leg of silver bull market should last 7 to 10 years. The bulk of the returns should be during the final 10% of the time. However I would like to take...
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    calculating maximum profit potential of a long term option trade

    Thanks for all the feedback. The profit potential is astounding if you can catch an ETF during the final blow off phase of a price run. For example. Assume that the price of silver back in the 70's was an ETF that was optionable. The break out price was near 5. It went on to 50 within a...
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    calculating maximum profit potential of a long term option trade

    I am trying to figure out which strike price level delivers maximum profit and leverage from a given assumed move in a stock. For example, lets say a stock is trading currently at 100 ( A significant peak that occurred many years ago ) and it is likely to make an extended move to 200 over a...
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    lowest comission so far?

    The lowest commission broker by far is Robinhood.com . Their commission rate is zero dollars, but currently there is a large waiting list to even be able to get access to their system. Still, this could be extremely competitive despite the potential disadvantages. If their model is...
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    TVIX versus VIX returns

    I think i figured it out. When this chart is above 1 then we are in backwardation http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$VIX:$VXV&p=D&yr=3&mn=0&dy=0&id=p82084404813
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    TVIX versus VIX returns

    how can I tell if backwardation is going to occur again ?
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    TVIX versus VIX returns

    From July 7th to August 8th 2011 the VIX showed a 214% return. From the same time frame the TVIX showed a 197% return. Afterwards the stock market volatility continued and the VIX never exceeded its peak on August 8th 2011, but yet the TVIX did continue to move higher for a total return...
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    how much will you pay for a trading subscription service

    There is nothing wrong with buy and hold or dollar cost averaging... certainly that worked better during the last 30 instead of the last 10. but there is nothing wrong with trading either.... there are commercials every day from the brokers pitching to people to sign up with them to a trading...
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    how much will you pay for a trading subscription service

    wouldn't this problem be solved with specific stop loss level suggestions ? if subscribers do not follow the stop loss rules it would be unfortunate, but that would be beyond my control I think..
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