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I am sorry to hear about your day and hope you are feeling better. Yes, my comment was intended to be in good fun. That is why I put the smiley face at the end. Take care and I look forward to more of your postings which are truly fantastic IMO. Joe.

Don't the breasts have to touch to be considered cleavage? Joe. :)

I agree but I also don't carry a cell phone on my person. The cell phone stays in the car. Joe.

Please read: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monty_Hall_problem Joe.

Incorrect analysis. Your error is that you made the selection of balls for system B correlated with the win rate. The correct analysis is that since there is no correlation, each ball has an equal chance of being selected which will result in a combined signal win rate of 60%. Joe.

WOW! I am sure if you tried harder you could have included a few more insults. I have no idea where all your anger comes from but the original question was not whether or not the single system was better, the original question was: what is the winning rate? Joe.

In addition, your horse example is incorrect. If horse 1 has already won, the chance of the next horse winning is 60%. I think you are referring to: What is the chance of hitting two winners in a row? Then the correct answer would be: 36%. If you don't understand the difference, you really...

One should really be sure they understand something before they call somone else a bozo. With all due respect, you are not understanding the problem presented in this thread. Joe.

60% Joe. PS. If the combined signal win rate was different than 60%, then the two systems must in some way be correlated. Joe.

:) My memory is not as good as it once was but I think it was either the late sixties or early seventies that there was a penny shortage and some stores were forced to round sales to the lower nickel because they didn't have any pennies for change. There were places that were paying a...

:eek: Who knows where the price of silver will go? In my case, I still collect but due to the run-up in price of silver (and I have been a consistent buyer of silver coins since 3x face value and now silver is at 30x face value), I have sold enough at this point that all the silver I own is...

Please note that the original posts are from 3/19/2010. Joe.

Seems like collecting silver was a good choice! :) Joe.

Agreed. There is also no problem with Kelly. The problems usually arise because of faulty inputs (such as believing you have a 75% chance of receiving 5-1). Joe.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pattern_day_trader Joe.

Bipolar and/or Schizophrenia. Joe.

This thread should have taught you that the above is not correct without context. Someone using a strategy of large "win" % for small gains, even without an "edge", can show significant gains and ROI until the the small "lose" % for very large losses shows up to take away your gains and then...

The above is spot on and worth many thousands of dollars to those that understand the concept being conveyed. Joe.

For the uninformed, it is a fake. Joe.

:eek: :D Joe.