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the market seems to be thinking now that October gas should be cheaper than the September gas. Does this make any sense ? Just because Ernesto is gone it does not meant that the winter will start soon ? Any ideas on that ?

I am talking about the cfd which is a derivative of the front month NG future contract. You pay swap points while holding the contract which is about 10 % of the profit made between the price move from 6,75 to 11 $ if you keep the cfd for 90 days. All the other assumptions constant you keep 90...

ok thanks for the answer btw on what do you base the assumption that NG should reach 8 $ within a week or two ? and hypotetically speaking if you could get winter contracts now for 6,75 would you do it with no hesitation knowing that they are priced over 11 $ now?

What if you get cfds based on natgas that get rolled over and never expire ? You buy now and close in winter.

Hello Guys, New here with a question. What is the risk in natgas trading if the price always goes up in winter and with ever growing demand and ever shrinking domestic production the price just cannot go below what is now say 6,6 $ per MMBTU ? Can you ever lose with those contracts. I...