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You are refering to the first or second system? Or both?

I'm sad.... https://www.elitetrader.com/et/threads/etf-mostly-trading-system-development.323907/

And..... with only one (almost even) losing year!

With this two systems (#QQQIBSM1 and #SPYLS1) we get a nice and stable equity curve with a MDD of 14.62%

Great thing about have a portfolio of systems. Even if #QQQIBSM1 and #SPYLS1 are probably correlated, we would have achieved a much better risk metrics without penalizing to much returns trading them together.

Specially to my only thread buddy:

The #SPYLS1 system for more conservative risk profile can be played only on the long side. AR above 10%. MDD 16% and a very nice equity curve.

Here is the #SPYLS1 code (if you find hard to understand it drop me a message). Code: SetTradeDelays(1,1,1,1); SetOption ("allowsamebarexit",false); BuyPrice = Open; SellPrice = Open; ShortPrice = Open; CoverPrice = Open; S1_PricePattern1 = (REF(C,-1) < REF(O,-1) and REF(C,-2) > REF(O,-2))...

I believe that the same setup most of the time is not adequate for all market regimes, many of my systems divide de market in half. For #SPYLS1 I use a SMA with a little twist. The system #SPYLS1 Entry/Short signal use a very simple price pattern. The Exit/Cover use a simple stochastic cross...

Yearly returns of the #SPYLS1 system.

It would be though to underperform during 2003 and 2009 biggest bull years. But it performs very well during bear markets. Here is Equity Curve and MDD of Closed Trades. Sorry cant post MDD of Open Equity, but keep in mind that historically was almost 19%.

Some stats about #SPYLS1 system: 12.90% AR, 78% Winners, -18.7% MDD, 2.62 PF and 1.35 SR. As always, should be traded in a basket of systems.

The next trading system is named #SPYLS1 (also for evaluation purposes i will post real time signals in my twitter account and update results in this thread). I'm not a firm believer of long/short symmetrical trading systems in the indexes because of the Long Bias, but.... this one seems is a...

A side note: #QQQIBSM1 system got a buy signal today. A position will be open tomorrow at the QQQ open. As told, for evaluation purposes, all signals will be post in my twitter (https://twitter.com/QuantpT) and stats updated in this topic regularly.

I lived 2 bear markets at this point. I would not give the benefit of the doubt to B&H, I just can imagine my portfolio with a 50% DD… at least I feel comfortable giving the benefit of the doubt to this system. Let's add one more system.... it have a lower AR than the first one.

Can you deal with a 50% DD of B&H, I can't. Also, I think you are missing the point or i haven’t clarified enough. I’m a firm believer that only one trading system you will not have success. You have to have a portfolio of trading systems, as much uncorrelated as possible. My main objective...

DD of 25% for B&H since 2005?

As requested. As a standalone system without any leverage I found hard to bit the returns of the 2009 bull market. Also that’s not the objective of only one system (maybe a portfolio of systems). I explained my main objectives with a portfolio of systems in a post above. If we considered...

The system is long only. I understand your point but the final objetive is not to outperform qqq with a single system. My goal is to have a portfolio of systems and that portfolio provide consistent returns with the lowest risk possible. This is only the first system. That portfolio should have...

Thanks for feedback. Will elaborate more on this and the previous post later in the day, but the way you see it is one way, the way i seet it is that buy and hold had a negative performance of minus 15%.