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    Cox-Proportional Hazard & Survival Analysis

    Thanks for that…I didn’t know you could tag users.
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    Cox-Proportional Hazard & Survival Analysis

    Was just wondering if Kevin Schmit or Same Lazy Element could opine on something. I am trying to develop my own factor model for something that I want to trade on. Specifically, the risk of companies disappointing on guidance. I was wondering if I should be using a Cox-Proportional Hazard...
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    Coinbase: Victim of a Major Hacker Attack, 6000 AccountS Stolen From

    I do not understand your comment. How does tether impact the viability and value of BTC or ETH specifically?
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    What happened to acrary?

    IMHO, I wouldn't accept those results on their face but I also wouldn't be as skeptical.
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    Option Trade for Appreciated Position

    Thanks for this. Much appreciated.
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    Option Trade for Appreciated Position

    Sorry if I wasn't clear enough. What I'm trying to do is go mostly risk off, without selling the shares (I'm attempting to avoid cap gains). So I'm trying to construct a position with a max risk that equals my potential tax bill while simultaneously expressing a bearish view. Willing to give up...
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    Option Trade for Appreciated Position

    I trade based on a fundamental model. I have a position which has gained ~75% in value, and I'm looking to exit the position soon as I see the valuation and timing get stretched. I want to use the potential tax bill on the latent gains to finance another bet (and changed view) using options and...
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    Altering Mean-Variance Portfolio Optimization

    I am attempting to create a portfolio optimization based on my own criteria. Instead of doing a mean-variance optimization, I am trying to optimize based on something different (let's say I am trying to target low P/E versus the variance in Earnings Growth, so presumably optimizing P/E for...
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    USD vs CAD for Canadians

    I’m in Canada but have 100% of the portfolio in USD. Most research I’m reading indicates that stimulus and low rates are the principal drivers for the next 1-2 years of USD decline versus EM currencies. Since CAD is tied to commodities much like EM currencies, I think it makes sense. I’m not...
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    Hedge funds keep two-thirds of profits

    You're clearly your own worst enemy.
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    Hedge funds keep two-thirds of profits

    Can you just shut up and listen & learn? We actually got SLE to go on a tangent which could have actually ended up giving us some ideas for what to look for as small participants. When you don't have the specialized knowledge developed yet (ie. me) you need help on where to look. Thanks for...
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    Carl Icahn: "I Fired 12 Floors of People"

    Love it. I want to build myself a backdate Hotrod based on a 3.2 but it’s a pain in the ass along the same lines as renovating.
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    Carl Icahn: "I Fired 12 Floors of People"

    Well at least you have good taste lol 993?
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    Carl Icahn: "I Fired 12 Floors of People"

    Mad respect if your 911 is a Singer ...
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    Moderna Phase 1 Vaccine Results

    I agree. Also, this type of crisis creates a ruthless forced efficiency (for example partial work from home that was frowned upon for no real reason). My feeling is companies like Tesla and Uber start to dominate, with small bricks & Mortar businesses evolving to become semi-online and...
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    Help with large trader

    For example, BX @ 100K or more shares in one block trade through a dark pool. If that flips a few times, it's a significant % of adv.
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    VIX Futures Trading

    Ok understood. Thanks for the feedback.
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    VIX Futures Trading

    Thought about what you said...and I think I've identified two occurrences where this happens. Seems to makes sense and coincide with what I think are fund flows. Want me to PM or to post in this thread? Tried to PM you, but I think you blocked the functionality.
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    Help with large trader

    BTW - just to follow up on this. I investigated the large block orders. They are all dark-pool fills. I'm unsure what to make of it. PS - I don't think it takes billions to push a large cap. Seems to me 10's of millions would be enough at the right times.
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    Book “ Machine Learning for Asset Managers”

    Actually, I used to have this approach. No longer... With material like De Prado’s, for a layperson like me, you can be lead very very far astray. Without the requisite technical background, you aren’t equipped to judge the quality of what you’re learning. So you build the wrong foundation...
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