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    Anchored Walk Forward Optimization to Avoid Curve Fitting

    Many thanks, you are awesome.
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    Anchored Walk Forward Optimization to Avoid Curve Fitting

    Gents, I have the following WFO result and it looks promising. What parameters should I pick and how often should I re-optimize my parameters?
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    Anchored Walk Forward Optimization to Avoid Curve Fitting

    Gents, Have you guys listened to the latest interview - 060 – Strategy Optimization with Robert Pardo? It is really awesome. BTW, Robert is not a fan of Anchored WFO!
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    Anchored Walk Forward Optimization to Avoid Curve Fitting

    Yes, I do have out of sample parameters that work well. What else can I do to ensure that I have not curve fitted. This is the reason why I also want to run the parameters again from 2007 to 2009 (another batch of out of sample).
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    Anchored Walk Forward Optimization to Avoid Curve Fitting

    If we are depending on luck then we are gambling. Are Quants gamblers?
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    Anchored Walk Forward Optimization to Avoid Curve Fitting

    Can elaborate this part further? For example ,my P1 range is -30 to 30 and my P2 range is -30 to 30. After optimization, I find that P1 is best at 15 and P2 is best at -3. So in this case, I will need to test [12,18]x[-6,0]
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    Anchored Walk Forward Optimization to Avoid Curve Fitting

    Statistical Trader - I am looking for concepts. Have you come across any optimization books that you can recommend? Let's say that I optimize from the start of 2010 to the end of 2014 and then I perform the out of sample test from 2015 to 2016. Let's assumed that I obtain a handful of parameters...
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    Anchored Walk Forward Optimization to Avoid Curve Fitting

    Gents, thanks for your replies. There are lots of authors that only perform rolling walk forward; however, I am leaning toward to anchored walk forward. Do you guys have a preference of one method over another? Is it possible that you can post a successful WFO result of R or Amibroker? Like many...
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    Anchored Walk Forward Optimization to Avoid Curve Fitting

    What software are you using for your WFO?
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    Anchored Walk Forward Optimization to Avoid Curve Fitting

    Here are my parameters: 1) take profit from $60 to $200 2) Stop loss from $100 to $200 3) LWMA Moving Average 1 period 30, level values from -30 to 30 4) SMMA Moving Average 2 period 30, level values from -30 to 30 5) LWMA Moving Average 3 period 30, level values from -30 to 30 6)SMMA Moving...
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    Anchored Walk Forward Optimization to Avoid Curve Fitting

    Hi there, I am looking for some feedbacks. My trading logics are on the 30M chart and I am optimizing from Jan 1, 2010 to Jan 1, 2016. My out-of-sample data step is 6 months and I am optimizing with 6 parameters. What are my chance of curve fitting with these parameters. Many thanks.
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